Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%Stetson

91.8%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -1120

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 71

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreUCF 88

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricUCF

40MMH Power Index57.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.3

115.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

-8.7Net Efficiency3.3

-1.0Strength of Schedule6.6

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

68.7Tempo71.2

53.8%Effective FG%53.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

33.6%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-6.0Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–40.0), offensive efficiency (113.3–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–115.9), net efficiency (3.3–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-2.9–-3.8), shooting efficiency (53.8–53.0), free throw rate (33.6–31.1).

Final

Stetson

85—82

UCF

Stetson by 3 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATUCF

25-53FG27-62

47.0%FG%44.0%

13-303PT6-18

43.0%3PT%33.0%

22-24FT22-28

92.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists14

17Turnovers13

6Steals4

2Blocks3

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	37	7-13	6-9	6-6	4	1	0	1	26
Stephan Swenson	Guard	38	5-12	1-5	8-8	6	9	4	0	19
Treyton Thompson	Forward	37	4-8	1-4	3-5	8	4	0	0	12
Alex Doyle	F	18	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	2	1	0	9
Aubin Gateretse	Center	20	3-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	8
Tristan Gross	G	19	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Alec Oglesby	G	27	1-6	0-3	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
Giancarlo Valdez	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Finley Sheridan	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	39	12-16	3-6	7-7	8	2	1	0	34
Darius Johnson	Guard	37	4-13	1-4	6-6	5	7	2	0	15
Shemarri Allen	Guard	34	4-9	0-0	3-3	1	0	1	0	11
Marchelus Avery	Forward	25	2-10	1-2	2-2	5	3	0	0	7
Thierno Sylla	C	20	3-8	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Omar Payne	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	4
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	2-8	5	0	0	2	4
Nils Machowski	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

112.0Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency112.0

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

59.4%Effective FG%48.4%

66.0%True Shooting %54.4%

22.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

45.3%Free Throw Rate45.2%

56.6%3-Point Rate29.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Stetson won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.