Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Sacramento State

75.2%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -303

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 75

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreUC Davis 84

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricUC Davis

43MMH Power Index48.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.2

112.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

-5.9Net Efficiency3.5

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.9

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

73.2Tempo72.4

48.5%Effective FG%52.3%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

41.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-4.3Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (107.2–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.0), net efficiency (3.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-1.9), ball security (14.2–17.7), free throw rate (41.8–41.5).

Final

Sacramento State

69—63

UC Davis

Sacramento State by 6 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATUC Davis

25-51FG21-51

49.0%FG%41.0%

10-273PT10-25

37.0%3PT%40.0%

9-13FT11-19

69.0%FT%58.0%

35Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists12

22Turnovers15

7Steals9

4Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	34	7-10	0-1	5-7	6	4	0	0	19
Brandon Betson	Guard	35	6-14	4-11	0-0	3	2	1	0	16
Akol Mawein	Forward	25	5-8	1-2	1-2	6	1	0	1	12
Zee Hamoda	G	31	3-9	2-6	3-4	4	3	2	1	11
Austin Patterson	Guard	21	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Alex Kovatchev	G	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	7	0	1	1	3
Bowyn Beatty	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	2
Emil Skytt	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Bailey Nunn	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Holt	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	35	7-18	6-13	2-2	6	3	3	0	22
TY Johnson	Guard	35	8-17	0-4	5-8	2	4	2	0	21
Kane Milling	Guard	36	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Pablo Tamba	F	9	1-1	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	6
Francesco Borra	Forward	7	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Ade Adebayo	Forward	34	1-2	1-2	0-2	6	1	1	1	3
Sam Manu	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Niko Rocak	F	23	0-2	0-0	0-1	5	1	1	1	0
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

97.7Offensive Efficiency89.2

89.2Defensive Efficiency97.7

8.5Net Efficiency-8.5

58.8%Effective FG%51.0%

60.3%True Shooting %52.5%

30.5%Turnover Rate21.7%

25.5%Free Throw Rate37.3%

52.9%3-Point Rate49.0%

0.55Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.