UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.9%UMBC

22.1%Hampton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL139.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -352

Hampton

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 73

Projected Total139.3

Projected ScoreHampton 66

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricHampton

59.1MMH Power Index43.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency104.3

99.0Defensive Efficiency105.6

14.0Net Efficiency-1.3

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.7

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.1

65.5Tempo67.0

54.3%Effective FG%47.3%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %33.3%

34.1%Free Throw Rate39.3%

9.1Average Margin-0.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–43.2), offensive efficiency (113.0–104.3), defensive efficiency (99.0–105.6), net efficiency (14.0–-1.3).

Hampton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-5.6), offensive rebounding (33.3–25.2), free throw rate (39.3–34.1).

Final

UMBC

80—76

Hampton

UMBC by 4 • 85.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATHampton

27-64FG29-63

42.0%FG%46.0%

6-223PT2-16

27.0%3PT%13.0%

20-27FT16-22

74.0%FT%73.0%

41Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists10

20Turnovers17

9Steals13

2Blocks3

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dion Brown	G	31	7-15	0-2	3-3	8	2	2	1	17
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	21	2-8	2-4	8-8	1	2	1	1	14
Marlon Short	Guard	28	6-8	1-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	13
Bryce Johnson	Guard	14	3-7	1-4	3-5	0	1	0	0	10
Devan Sapp	Guard	31	3-8	2-5	0-2	5	1	2	0	8
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	27	3-4	0-0	2-4	8	4	2	0	8
Khydarius Smith	Center	13	2-6	0-2	3-3	6	0	0	0	7
Ace Valentine	G	13	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Ashton Reese	Guard	19	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	2	0	1
Franck Emmou	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Hampton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyrese Mullen	F	33	7-13	1-2	3-5	11	1	1	0	18
Tedrick Wilcox	Guard	33	6-14	0-4	5-5	3	2	0	0	17
Tristan Maxwell	Guard	36	5-13	1-6	2-4	6	5	1	0	13
Joshua Lusane	Forward	23	4-8	0-1	2-2	4	0	2	0	10
Dan Banister Jr.	Guard	22	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	0	3	1	7
Ja'Von Benson	Forward	11	3-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	6
Amir Nesbitt	Guard	28	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	1	4	0	4
Donovan Raymond	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	2	1	1
Jerry Deng	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

85.2Possessions85.2

93.9Offensive Efficiency89.2

89.2Defensive Efficiency93.9

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

46.9%Effective FG%47.6%

52.1%True Shooting %51.7%

23.3%Turnover Rate20.1%

42.2%Free Throw Rate34.9%

34.4%3-Point Rate25.4%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

UMBC won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 85.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.