UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%UC Santa Barbara

50.8%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -103

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 74

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreFresno State 75

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricFresno State

51.4MMH Power Index47.1

113.2Offensive Efficiency104.9

106.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.1Net Efficiency0.0

-2.0Strength of Schedule1.5

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.5Tempo69.4

54.8%Effective FG%51.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.5%

4.8Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.2–104.9), net efficiency (7.1–0.0), recent form (-1.7–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–106.1), strength of schedule (1.5–-2.0), ball security (18.2–18.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

69—65

Fresno State

UC Santa Barbara by 4 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATFresno State

26-55FG25-69

47.0%FG%36.0%

1-53PT7-31

20.0%3PT%23.0%

16-19FT8-12

84.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists12

11Turnovers11

2Steals7

5Blocks1

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	34	10-18	1-2	6-8	7	2	0	0	27
Yohan Traore	F	31	7-11	0-1	3-4	6	0	0	1	17
Cole Anderson	Guard	38	4-10	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	9
Matija Belic	F	23	2-3	0-1	4-4	3	1	0	2	8
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	34	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Jason Fontenet II	G	16	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	2
Evans Kipruto	C	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ariel Bland	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	38	6-16	2-8	5-7	3	8	3	0	19
Donavan Yap	Guard	30	5-10	3-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	13
Leo Colimerio	Forward	25	4-8	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	11
Eduardo Andre	Center	24	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Isaiah Pope	Guard	27	3-14	1-7	0-1	2	0	3	0	7
Enoch Boakye	Forward	20	3-6	0-0	1-2	16	0	0	0	7
Xavier DuSell	Guard	26	0-7	0-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Weaver	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

97.3Offensive Efficiency91.7

91.7Defensive Efficiency97.3

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

48.2%Effective FG%41.3%

53.9%True Shooting %43.5%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate17.4%

9.1%3-Point Rate44.9%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.