Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%Utah

97.1%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -23.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -3348

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah 63

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 86

Team Comparison

UtahMetricSaint Mary's

43.9MMH Power Index70.7

108.8Offensive Efficiency116.7

115.8Defensive Efficiency97.4

-7.0Net Efficiency19.3

5.1Strength of Schedule3.0

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

68.3Tempo66.3

52.3%Effective FG%53.1%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

32.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.8Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–43.9), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.8), defensive efficiency (97.4–115.8), net efficiency (19.3–-7.0).

Utah COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–3.0).

Final

Utah

78—71

Saint Mary's

Utah by 7 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UtahTEAM STATSaint Mary's

24-55FG25-60

44.0%FG%42.0%

7-173PT9-27

41.0%3PT%33.0%

23-31FT12-18

74.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists12

9Turnovers9

5Steals6

4Blocks6

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rollie Worster	Guard	36	6-16	2-4	3-4	8	1	0	0	17
Gabe Madsen	Guard	35	6-11	2-5	3-3	3	1	1	0	17
Cole Bajema	Guard	33	3-6	2-4	6-9	1	1	1	0	14
Lawson Lovering	Center	16	3-8	0-0	3-5	1	1	0	1	9
Ben Carlson	Forward	21	1-3	1-2	5-6	2	1	0	0	8
Branden Carlson	Center	28	3-7	0-1	1-2	7	3	1	2	7
Keba Keita	F	15	1-1	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	1	4
Hunter Erickson	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Luka Tarlac	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	40	9-13	3-6	1-1	1	5	0	0	22
Alex Ducas	Guard	35	5-9	4-7	2-2	4	3	1	0	16
Joshua Jefferson	F	29	6-14	1-5	1-3	8	1	2	1	14
Mason Forbes	Forward	12	2-5	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	1	6
Mitchell Saxen	Center	31	2-7	0-0	1-4	10	3	1	3	5
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	29	1-9	1-6	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Harry Wessels	C	8	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	1	3
Chris Howell	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Luke Barrett	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency104.1

104.1Defensive Efficiency114.4

10.3Net Efficiency-10.3

50.0%Effective FG%49.2%

55.9%True Shooting %51.8%

12.9%Turnover Rate13.5%

56.4%Free Throw Rate30.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate45.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Utah won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.