Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%Georgia Southern

94.3%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -19.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1654

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 69

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 88

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricMichigan State

49.1MMH Power Index69.8

112.3Offensive Efficiency117.0

110.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.7Net Efficiency15.5

-2.2Strength of Schedule7.2

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

72.0Tempo67.3

52.1%Effective FG%54.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

39.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

1.2Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–49.1), offensive efficiency (117.0–112.3), defensive efficiency (101.5–110.6), net efficiency (15.5–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–17.2), free throw rate (39.5–36.6).

Final

Georgia Southern

55—86

Michigan State

Michigan State by 31 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATMichigan State

22-55FG31-60

40.0%FG%52.0%

6-253PT5-18

24.0%3PT%28.0%

5-9FT19-30

56.0%FT%63.0%

26Rebounds46

5Offensive Rebounds16

8Assists23

20Turnovers15

10Steals8

5Blocks4

24Fouls12

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyren Moore	G	23	7-11	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	15
Eren Banks	G	25	5-9	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Russell Dean	Guard	24	5-11	2-3	0-1	1	2	1	0	12
Derrick Harris Jr.	Guard	15	1-4	1-3	3-4	0	1	0	0	6
Cam Bryant	Forward	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	4
Avantae Parker	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-2	6	1	0	0	4
Nate Brafford	F	23	0-2	0-2	2-2	3	0	4	1	2
Jamar Franklin	G	20	0-8	0-6	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
David Jones	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	3	2	0
Malik Tidwell	Guard	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Carlos Curry	Center	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	22	6-10	1-4	1-2	6	1	1	2	14
Tyson Walker	Guard	25	6-14	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	13
AJ Hoggard	Guard	22	4-6	0-0	4-5	2	4	3	0	12
Malik Hall	Forward	23	3-5	0-1	5-10	9	3	1	0	11
Mady Sissoko	Center	16	4-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	10
Tre Holloman	G	21	2-4	1-3	2-2	0	10	0	0	7
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	18	2-2	0-0	2-2	10	3	1	0	6
Carson Cooper	C	16	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	5
Davis Smith	Guard	4	1-3	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Xavier Booker	C	12	1-4	1-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	3
Coen Carr	F	17	0-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Izzo	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

74.5Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency74.5

-42.0Net Efficiency42.0

45.5%Effective FG%55.8%

46.4%True Shooting %57.9%

26.9%Turnover Rate20.5%

16.4%Free Throw Rate50.0%

45.5%3-Point Rate30.0%

0.40Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.