Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Southern Illinois

34.8%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -187

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricIndiana State

54.6MMH Power Index44.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

98.5Defensive Efficiency106.0

4.9Net Efficiency-1.3

1.6Strength of Schedule0.1

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

70.6Tempo70.3

49.5%Effective FG%53.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

3.4Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–44.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–106.0), net efficiency (4.9–-1.3), strength of schedule (1.6–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.7–103.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–49.5).

Final

Southern Illinois

48—77

Indiana State

Indiana State by 29 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATIndiana State

17-56FG27-56

30.0%FG%48.0%

3-203PT7-21

15.0%3PT%33.0%

11-16FT16-20

69.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds5

2Assists12

15Turnovers7

1Steals5

7Blocks4

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	35	5-17	1-4	5-6	5	1	0	2	16
Clarence Rupert	Forward	26	6-14	0-3	4-6	10	0	0	3	16
Trey Miller	G	13	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Jovan Stulic	Guard	29	1-5	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	3
Troy D'Amico	Forward	33	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Scottie Ebube	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	20	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
R.J. McGee	Guard	11	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Trent Brown	Guard	26	0-4	0-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	37	8-18	4-12	2-2	6	2	2	0	22
Xavier Bledson	Guard	28	6-9	2-4	3-3	2	4	0	0	17
Julian Larry	Guard	32	5-11	1-2	1-2	3	3	2	1	12
Jayson Kent	Forward	32	4-6	0-1	3-4	9	0	0	0	11
Robbie Avila	C	23	2-5	0-0	5-5	2	2	0	2	9
Jake Wolfe	Guard	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Derek Vorst	C	8	0-0	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	1	2
Jaden Daughtry	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Masen Miller	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Eli Shetlar	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaden Schertz	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

71.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency71.0

-42.9Net Efficiency42.9

33.0%Effective FG%54.5%

37.7%True Shooting %58.8%

22.2%Turnover Rate10.4%

28.6%Free Throw Rate35.7%

35.7%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.13Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.