Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.6%Wagner

85.4%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -585

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 74

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricProvidence

42.9MMH Power Index54.2

105.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.1Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.6Net Efficiency1.8

-5.0Strength of Schedule4.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.6Tempo74.2

50.2%Effective FG%55.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.6%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.4Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–42.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–105.5), net efficiency (1.8–-0.6), strength of schedule (4.0–-5.0).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–113.2), recent form (0.3–-1.3), offensive rebounding (34.0–31.8).

Final

Wagner

52—86

Providence

Providence by 34 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATProvidence

18-65FG29-55

28.0%FG%53.0%

7-213PT13-32

33.0%3PT%41.0%

9-15FT15-23

60.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds44

12Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists25

10Turnovers10

8Steals5

1Blocks10

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melvin Council Jr.	G	29	7-19	3-7	0-0	8	1	2	0	17
Zaire Williams	G	24	3-8	2-4	4-4	2	1	2	0	12
Tyje Kelton	F	22	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	23	2-9	0-2	1-3	4	0	1	0	5
Julian Brown	Guard	18	1-7	0-3	3-4	0	1	1	0	5
Seck Zongo	F	20	1-5	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	3
Javier Ezquerra	G	27	1-5	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Tahron Allen	Not Available	17	1-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Keyontae Lewis	F	20	0-2	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ticket Gaines	Guard	27	7-10	7-10	0-0	4	5	0	1	21
Bryce Hopkins	F	27	7-11	2-5	4-7	6	2	1	0	20
Josh Oduro	Forward	25	5-8	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	3	12
Devin Carter	Guard	26	3-4	0-1	4-5	13	6	2	1	10
Rich Barron	F	20	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Donovan Santoro	Forward	7	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	5
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	21	1-3	1-3	1-2	3	4	0	0	4
Rafael Castro	F	15	1-2	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	2	4
Garwey Dual	G	28	0-5	0-3	2-4	1	5	0	1	2
Kieran O'Haire	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Fonts	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

74.3Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency74.3

-48.6Net Efficiency48.6

33.1%Effective FG%64.5%

36.0%True Shooting %65.2%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.3%

23.1%Free Throw Rate41.8%

32.3%3-Point Rate58.2%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Providence won by 34 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.