Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Ball State

69.2%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.6

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -225

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 68

Projected Total140.6

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 73

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricLittle Rock

41.3MMH Power Index44

101.7Offensive Efficiency103.0

104.7Defensive Efficiency108.2

-3.0Net Efficiency-5.2

-3.9Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

66.4Tempo68.5

48.3%Effective FG%50.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

33.0%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-2.0Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (103.0–101.7), strength of schedule (0.5–-3.9), recent form (-0.7–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–108.2), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.2), ball security (16.0–18.7).

Final

Ball State

64—90

Little Rock

Little Rock by 26 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

26-53FG37-58

49.0%FG%64.0%

4-203PT12-20

20.0%3PT%60.0%

8-16FT4-7

50.0%FT%57.0%

25Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists22

14Turnovers13

4Steals5

2Blocks4

7Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	37	9-15	2-6	5-6	4	3	3	0	25
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	29	6-13	1-5	1-2	5	1	1	0	14
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	33	5-10	1-5	1-2	3	2	0	1	12
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	21	2-6	0-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	5
Ben Hendriks	Center	24	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	2
Mason Jones	F	21	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Joey Brown	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	2
Zane Doughty	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	1	2
Micah Bell	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradley Douglas	G	29	10-14	6-8	0-1	1	5	1	0	26
Cougar Downing	G	30	4-11	2-5	2-2	4	2	3	0	12
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	26	6-10	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	12
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	32	4-7	3-5	0-0	3	2	0	1	11
Creed Williamson	F	33	5-6	0-0	0-0	6	6	0	0	10
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

98.6Offensive Efficiency138.7

138.7Defensive Efficiency98.6

-40.1Net Efficiency40.1

52.8%Effective FG%74.1%

52.8%True Shooting %73.4%

21.7%Turnover Rate19.9%

30.2%Free Throw Rate12.1%

37.7%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.69

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.