Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Northwestern State

34.3%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -192

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 76

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 71

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricUL Monroe

41.3MMH Power Index30.9

104.0Offensive Efficiency101.1

109.0Defensive Efficiency117.1

-5.0Net Efficiency-16.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

63.6Tempo71.7

49.5%Effective FG%48.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate40.6%

-3.2Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–30.9), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.1), defensive efficiency (109.0–117.1), net efficiency (-5.0–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-1.6), ball security (16.9–17.6).

Final

Northwestern State

70—74

UL Monroe

UL Monroe by 4 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

24-55FG24-62

44.0%FG%39.0%

11-303PT3-20

37.0%3PT%15.0%

11-14FT23-35

79.0%FT%66.0%

27Rebounds45

5Offensive Rebounds20

14Assists8

13Turnovers13

6Steals3

4Blocks7

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braelon Bush	G	34	5-11	5-10	2-2	2	3	1	0	17
Cliff Davis	G	34	5-12	5-10	1-1	5	2	1	0	16
Chase Forte	G	35	5-9	1-2	1-2	2	4	0	0	12
Duane Posey	G	20	2-2	0-0	3-3	3	1	1	1	7
Justin Wilson	Forward	17	2-5	0-0	3-4	5	0	1	1	7
Jamison Epps	Guard	25	2-6	0-2	0-0	5	4	0	0	4
Jimel Lane	F	16	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	2	4
Ryan Forrest	Guard	13	1-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Chris Mubiru	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nika Metskhvarishvili	Forward	37	5-13	1-5	8-9	8	2	1	5	19
Tyreke Locure	Guard	33	5-12	1-5	6-8	9	2	0	0	17
Jalen Bolden	G	30	5-10	0-1	2-4	14	2	1	1	12
Tyreese Watson	G	22	4-10	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	9
Savion Gallion	Guard	19	1-3	1-3	2-3	2	0	0	0	5
Makai Willis	C	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Jacob Wilson	G	8	1-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Devon Hancock	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
AD Diedhiou	Forward	15	0-2	0-0	1-5	3	1	1	1	1
Jerry Ngopot	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.0

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

53.6%Effective FG%41.1%

56.8%True Shooting %47.1%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

25.5%Free Throw Rate56.5%

54.5%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

UL Monroe won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.