Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%Utah State

65.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -186

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 76

Projected Total158.6

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricSaint Louis

65.7MMH Power Index66.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency120.8

103.1Defensive Efficiency97.6

16.6Net Efficiency23.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.3

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

68.6Tempo72.2

56.9%Effective FG%59.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.9%

11.4Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–119.7), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.1), net efficiency (23.2–16.6).

Utah State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–0.3), recent form (0.3–0.1), ball security (15.1–17.1).

Final

Utah State

81—76

Saint Louis

Utah State by 5 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATSaint Louis

35-61FG27-57

57.0%FG%47.0%

6-233PT10-24

26.0%3PT%42.0%

5-10FT12-13

50.0%FT%92.0%

35Rebounds25

12Offensive Rebounds7

20Assists16

13Turnovers11

5Steals7

7Blocks—

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	36	11-15	0-0	2-4	13	3	0	3	24
Isaac Johnson	C	21	7-9	2-3	0-2	3	2	1	1	16
Mason Falslev	G	32	5-8	1-3	0-0	5	2	2	0	11
Ian Martinez	Guard	32	4-8	1-5	0-0	0	3	1	3	9
Darius Brown II	Guard	37	2-7	1-4	2-2	3	7	0	0	7
Josh Uduje	Guard	16	3-6	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	7
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	23	2-7	0-4	1-2	6	1	1	0	5
Karson Templin	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	37	9-15	3-8	7-7	0	5	2	28
Michael Meadows Jr.	Guard	32	7-11	2-2	2-2	1	4	0	18
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	28	5-14	2-6	2-3	4	1	1	14
Larry Hughes II	G	23	2-8	2-5	0-0	2	0	3	6
Kellen Thames	G	27	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	5
Stef van Bussel	C	6	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	3
Bruce Zhang	Center	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	2
Tim Dalger	Forward	18	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Cian Medley	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0
Djordje Curcic	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

120.9Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency120.9

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

62.3%Effective FG%56.1%

61.6%True Shooting %60.2%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

16.4%Free Throw Rate22.8%

37.7%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.54Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Utah State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.