Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%Jackson State

97.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -24.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -3348

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 68

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreArkansas State 93

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricArkansas State

30.7MMH Power Index57.7

98.1Offensive Efficiency113.1

117.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

-18.9Net Efficiency7.8

-0.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.6Tempo73.3

45.8%Effective FG%52.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate19.4%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-13.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.7), offensive efficiency (113.1–98.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.0), net efficiency (7.8–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-1.0).

Final

Jackson State

75—71

Arkansas State

Jackson State by 4 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATArkansas State

24-57FG21-54

42.0%FG%39.0%

4-153PT14-34

27.0%3PT%41.0%

23-29FT15-25

79.0%FT%60.0%

44Rebounds30

15Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists14

13Turnovers12

8Steals5

6Blocks2

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ken Evans Jr.	Guard	37	9-16	2-4	12-13	5	2	2	0	32
Chase Adams	Guard	31	3-8	0-1	4-4	4	2	2	0	10
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	21	3-7	1-3	2-2	4	1	1	1	9
Romelle Mansel	Forward	27	2-5	0-0	4-8	5	4	1	0	8
Zeke Cook	F	28	2-9	0-1	1-1	8	1	1	0	5
Jordan O'Neal	Forward	29	2-4	0-1	0-0	7	0	1	5	4
Jalani Bell	G	8	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	4
Coltie Young	Guard	19	1-6	1-5	0-0	6	1	0	0	3

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrian Ford	G	21	5-9	3-6	1-2	5	2	0	0	14
Taryn Todd	Guard	16	4-8	3-4	1-2	1	0	3	1	12
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	26	1-9	1-8	6-7	4	5	0	0	9
Avery Felts	Guard	25	3-7	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	9
Caleb Fields	Guard	24	2-4	1-1	3-6	0	1	1	0	8
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	23	2-5	2-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Lado Laku	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	1	6
Julian Lual	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Freddy Hicks	G	29	0-6	0-2	2-4	2	1	0	0	2
Izaiyah Nelson	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency109.6

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

45.6%Effective FG%51.9%

53.0%True Shooting %53.9%

18.9%Turnover Rate17.7%

50.9%Free Throw Rate46.3%

26.3%3-Point Rate63.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.