Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Idaho State

41.4%Pepperdine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -142

Pepperdine

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScorePepperdine 76

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricPepperdine

45.9MMH Power Index38.2

111.0Offensive Efficiency103.2

113.4Defensive Efficiency113.6

-2.4Net Efficiency-10.4

0.2Strength of Schedule0.7

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.3

67.1Tempo70.0

52.2%Effective FG%48.7%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-1.6Average Margin-7.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–38.2), offensive efficiency (111.0–103.2), defensive efficiency (113.4–113.6), net efficiency (-2.4–-10.4).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–0.2).

Final

Idaho State

62—77

Pepperdine

Pepperdine by 15 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATPepperdine

24-54FG33-62

44.0%FG%53.0%

5-173PT5-12

29.0%3PT%42.0%

9-9FT6-7

100.0%FT%86.0%

28Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists21

14Turnovers7

3Steals10

2Blocks3

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	30	6-14	2-7	0-0	1	2	0	0	14
Brayden Parker	Center	31	6-9	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	13
Kiree Huie	F	33	5-11	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	10
Maleek Arington	G	25	2-5	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	8
Kolton Mitchell	G	21	1-4	1-3	4-4	3	3	1	0	7
AJ Burgin	Guard	8	2-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	5
Jordan Hansen	Guard	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Isaiah Griffin	F	23	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Trent Johnson	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	34	12-15	1-2	0-0	10	5	4	2	25
Jalen Pitre	F	31	7-13	0-2	2-2	9	2	0	0	16
Houston Mallette	G	30	3-4	1-1	1-1	4	5	1	0	8
Ethan Anderson	Guard	26	2-5	0-1	3-4	1	6	0	0	7
Malik Messina-Moore	G	28	2-10	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Nils Cooper	G	15	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Curtis Williams	Guard	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Aladji Gassama	Center	12	2-8	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Cord Stansberry	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

95.7Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency95.7

-23.1Net Efficiency23.1

49.1%Effective FG%57.3%

53.2%True Shooting %58.9%

21.4%Turnover Rate10.9%

16.7%Free Throw Rate11.3%

31.5%3-Point Rate19.4%

0.57Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Pepperdine won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.