Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.4%Evansville

93.6%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -17.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -1462

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 65

Projected Total147.1

Projected ScoreMissouri State 82

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricMissouri State

31.6MMH Power Index51.1

98.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

112.4Defensive Efficiency108.4

-13.9Net Efficiency2.1

1.8Strength of Schedule0.5

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.0Tempo67.9

50.0%Effective FG%51.8%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

30.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-9.5Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.5–98.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–112.4), net efficiency (2.1–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.5).

Final

Evansville

78—90

Missouri State

Missouri State by 12 • 78.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATMissouri State

29-68FG28-59

43.0%FG%47.0%

10-303PT9-23

33.0%3PT%39.0%

10-14FT25-32

71.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists15

13Turnovers15

9Steals9

3Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chuck Bailey III	G	24	10-17	2-6	5-5	4	0	0	0	27
Ben Humrichous	F	35	4-11	2-5	4-5	3	1	2	1	14
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	28	4-9	1-4	1-4	2	3	3	0	10
Gage Bobe	Guard	18	3-8	3-7	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Tanner Cuff	G	28	3-7	1-2	0-0	7	8	4	0	7
Yacine Toumi	F	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	2	4
Cam Haffner	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Joshua Hughes	F	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Antonio Thomas	Guard	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Sekou Kalle	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	39	8-14	5-8	7-7	8	2	1	3	28
Matthew Lee	Guard	40	4-14	2-7	10-14	4	8	3	0	20
Donovan Clay	Guard	37	6-12	1-4	6-7	5	2	2	1	19
NJ Benson	F	31	7-12	0-0	2-4	13	0	0	2	16
Cesare Edwards	Center	29	3-5	1-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	7
Raphe Ayres	Guard	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.5Possessions78.5

99.4Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency99.4

-15.3Net Efficiency15.3

50.0%Effective FG%55.1%

52.2%True Shooting %60.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

20.6%Free Throw Rate54.2%

44.1%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 78.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.