Bradley

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Bradley

60.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -152

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBradley 79

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 82

Team Comparison

BradleyMetricMurray State

54.4MMH Power Index53.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

5.2Net Efficiency4.0

1.6Strength of Schedule3.5

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

69.9Tempo72.3

51.2%Effective FG%54.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.7%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

37.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.6Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bradley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBradley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–53.6), defensive efficiency (105.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–4.0), recent form (0.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.2).

Final

Bradley

72—79

Murray State

Murray State by 7 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BradleyTEAM STATMurray State

28-61FG27-51

46.0%FG%53.0%

7-213PT5-20

33.0%3PT%25.0%

9-17FT20-26

53.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists11

9Turnovers8

7Steals4

1Blocks3

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Hannah	Forward	24	9-10	0-0	1-4	10	1	2	0	19
Malevy Leons	Forward	36	5-12	0-3	4-7	6	1	2	1	14
Connor Hickman	G	32	3-10	3-7	2-3	2	3	1	0	11
Ahmet Jonovic	C	21	5-8	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	11
Duke Deen	Guard	29	2-8	2-5	1-2	3	3	0	0	7
Christian Davis	Guard	26	2-5	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Emarion Ellis	Guard	12	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	4
Almar Atlason	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Demarion Burch	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	5-7	3-5	6-6	6	2	2	0	19
Rob Perry	Guard	35	9-14	0-3	1-3	3	2	1	0	19
Brian Moore Jr.	G	24	5-7	0-0	4-5	0	2	1	0	14
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	30	1-8	1-6	3-4	2	1	0	0	6
Quincy Anderson	Guard	25	2-5	0-3	2-2	6	2	0	1	6
Nick Ellington	F	23	3-5	0-0	0-2	7	1	0	1	6
Malek Abdelgowad	F	16	1-2	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	1	6
Justin Morgan	Guard	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

112.0Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

51.6%Effective FG%57.8%

52.1%True Shooting %62.4%

13.8%Turnover Rate12.6%

27.9%Free Throw Rate51.0%

34.4%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Murray State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.