Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Bellarmine

95.2%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -1983

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 71

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreLouisville 93

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricLouisville

44.9MMH Power Index67.1

119.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

122.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

-2.5Net Efficiency16.4

-2.8Strength of Schedule6.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%56.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.3%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-1.7Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–44.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–122.1), net efficiency (16.4–-2.5), strength of schedule (6.0–-2.8).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–118.6), shooting efficiency (60.0–56.9), ball security (15.3–16.8).

Final

Bellarmine

68—73

Louisville

Louisville by 5 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATLouisville

22-58FG25-58

38.0%FG%43.0%

6-203PT7-24

30.0%3PT%29.0%

18-19FT16-22

95.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists13

12Turnovers14

7Steals1

2Blocks4

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bash Wieland	Guard	37	6-13	0-3	6-7	6	2	1	0	18
Garrett Tipton	Guard	34	6-17	4-8	2-2	3	1	0	0	18
Alec Pfriem	Guard	33	4-7	0-2	6-6	8	1	4	1	14
Billy Smith	G	22	2-6	2-4	2-2	0	0	0	0	8
Peter Suder	G	35	2-10	0-3	2-2	7	5	1	0	6
Dezmond McKinney	G	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Langdon Hatton	Center	21	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	1	0
Zac Jennings	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	37	7-13	3-8	4-4	2	3	0	0	21
Tre White	G	34	3-8	1-2	7-8	4	3	0	0	14
Mike James	G	25	4-8	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	10
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	24	3-5	0-0	3-6	10	1	0	2	9
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	19	3-9	0-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	8
JJ Traynor	F	30	3-5	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	2	6
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	12	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Kaleb Glenn	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	0	2
Dennis Evans	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Danilo Jovanovich	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

94.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency94.7

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

43.1%Effective FG%49.1%

50.7%True Shooting %53.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.3%

32.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Louisville won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.