Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Dayton

69.0%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSMU -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINESMU -223

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreSMU 81

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricSMU

59.9MMH Power Index62.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency118.2

101.5Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.0Net Efficiency8.6

5.7Strength of Schedule7.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

68.3Tempo71.1

52.0%Effective FG%55.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

47.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

4.8Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–59.9), offensive efficiency (118.2–108.5), net efficiency (8.6–7.0), strength of schedule (7.0–5.7).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–109.6), recent form (6.4–-1.3), free throw rate (47.6–31.3).

Final

Dayton

65—63

SMU

Dayton by 2 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATSMU

24-51FG26-63

47.0%FG%41.0%

10-203PT5-22

50.0%3PT%23.0%

7-10FT6-8

70.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists12

17Turnovers13

8Steals10

6Blocks5

9Fouls11

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koby Brea	Guard	31	8-13	6-8	0-0	6	0	2	1	22
DaRon Holmes II	Center	33	6-10	1-1	7-9	7	6	1	3	20
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	33	3-7	3-6	0-0	7	3	2	1	9
Nate Santos	Forward	32	2-9	0-0	0-1	4	3	1	0	4
Kobe Elvis	Guard	27	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Isaac Jack	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	4
Javon Bennett	G	19	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zhuric Phelps	Guard	33	6-15	2-6	1-2	3	1	4	0	15
Keon Ambrose-Hylton	Forward	25	5-7	0-1	2-3	5	0	1	0	12
Chuck Harris	Guard	32	3-14	1-6	1-1	1	3	1	0	8
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	22	3-11	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	2	8
Tyreek Smith	Not Available	19	3-4	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	2	8
B.J. Edwards	G	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Samuell Williamson	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	4
Ricardo Wright	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Jalen Smith	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Emory Lanier	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

105.2Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

56.9%Effective FG%45.2%

58.3%True Shooting %47.2%

28.0%Turnover Rate20.7%

19.6%Free Throw Rate12.7%

39.2%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Dayton won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.