Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Merrimack

56.6%Georgetown

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgetown -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL131.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgetown -130

Georgetown

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 65

Projected Total131.8

Projected ScoreGeorgetown 67

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricGeorgetown

53.7MMH Power Index51.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency107.4

3.2Net Efficiency-0.2

0.7Strength of Schedule4.4

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.8

64.4Tempo61.7

49.3%Effective FG%49.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.5%Free Throw Rate38.3%

2.1Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.5), defensive efficiency (103.2–107.4), net efficiency (3.2–-0.2), recent form (12.9–-4.8).

Georgetown COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.4), strength of schedule (4.4–0.7), offensive rebounding (32.3–24.7).

Final

Merrimack

67—69

Georgetown

Georgetown by 2 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATGeorgetown

24-55FG18-50

44.0%FG%36.0%

4-153PT5-13

27.0%3PT%38.0%

15-21FT28-42

71.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds18

12Assists14

12Turnovers18

14Steals5

2Blocks8

26Fouls21

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Derkack	G	33	8-14	0-2	6-11	7	2	3	0	22
Adam Clark	G	32	4-11	0-0	3-3	2	2	3	0	11
Samba Diallo	Forward	32	2-3	0-1	5-5	6	3	1	0	9
Devon Savage	Guard	29	3-9	2-5	0-0	4	0	3	0	8
Jaylen Stinson	G	16	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	7
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	22	2-5	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	6
Bryan Etumnu	F	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	4
Jordan McKoy	Guard	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	3	3	0	0

Georgetown

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wayne Bristol Jr.	Guard	24	3-5	0-0	8-11	4	1	2	3	14
Supreme Cook	Not Available	29	4-10	0-0	4-8	12	0	2	0	12
Jayden Epps	G	13	3-7	2-3	3-4	1	2	0	0	11
Ismael Massoud	Forward	31	2-9	2-5	3-4	3	1	0	4	9
Jay Heath	Guard	22	2-5	1-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	7
Dontrez Styles	Guard	28	1-6	0-2	4-6	6	0	0	0	6
Rowan Brumbaugh	G	25	1-5	0-0	4-7	1	4	1	0	6
Drew Fielder	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
Cam Bacote	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Ryan Mutombo	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

96.4Offensive Efficiency99.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency96.4

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

47.3%Effective FG%41.0%

51.6%True Shooting %49.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate25.7%

38.2%Free Throw Rate84.0%

27.3%3-Point Rate26.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Georgetown won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.