San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%San José State

73.3%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -275

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 78

Projected Total163.2

Projected ScoreCal Poly 85

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricCal Poly

42MMH Power Index46.5

108.7Offensive Efficiency107.2

118.5Defensive Efficiency111.0

-9.8Net Efficiency-3.8

1.8Strength of Schedule1.7

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

66.2Tempo76.6

50.8%Effective FG%52.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate19.8%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

34.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-6.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–42.0), defensive efficiency (111.0–118.5), net efficiency (-3.8–-9.8), recent form (2.4–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–107.2), strength of schedule (1.8–1.7), ball security (15.2–19.8).

Final

San José State

77—81

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 4 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATCal Poly

28-65FG27-54

43.0%FG%50.0%

9-253PT7-15

36.0%3PT%47.0%

12-18FT20-30

67.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists12

10Turnovers11

6Steals5

3Blocks7

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myron Amey Jr.	G	35	7-16	3-5	5-6	6	2	2	0	22
Tibet Gorener	Forward	36	6-13	1-7	4-6	9	1	0	1	17
Trey Anderson	Forward	25	5-5	3-3	0-0	2	2	0	1	13
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	42	4-16	0-4	3-4	4	4	0	0	11
William Humer	F	19	4-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Ryen Perry	Guard	21	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Adrame Diongue	C	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	2
Garrett Anderson	Guard	14	0-5	0-2	0-2	1	1	1	0	0
Diogo Seixas	Forward	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Latrell Davis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	28	6-14	2-3	8-10	3	4	0	0	22
Quentin Jones	G	42	6-11	1-3	2-3	5	2	0	1	15
Jarred Hyder	Guard	40	4-9	3-6	1-2	2	4	1	0	12
Paul Bizimana	Forward	32	4-8	0-1	3-6	8	0	2	2	11
Justin Page	G	24	3-5	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	7
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	20	3-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	7
Joel Armotrading	C	21	1-2	0-0	1-3	6	0	2	2	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Aidan Prukop	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency112.6

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

50.0%Effective FG%56.5%

52.3%True Shooting %59.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

27.7%Free Throw Rate55.6%

38.5%3-Point Rate27.8%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.