Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.9%Northern Colorado

26.1%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -283

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 82

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreSan Diego 77

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricSan Diego

53.7MMH Power Index39.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency106.2

107.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

8.4Net Efficiency-4.9

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

71.1Tempo70.1

56.9%Effective FG%52.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate26.3%

6.0Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–39.8), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.2), defensive efficiency (107.6–111.1), net efficiency (8.4–-4.9).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (29.1–27.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

72—74

San Diego

San Diego by 2 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATSan Diego

25-65FG27-59

38.0%FG%46.0%

10-293PT6-18

34.0%3PT%33.0%

12-15FT14-20

80.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists14

10Turnovers16

7Steals8

1Blocks3

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	30	5-10	5-7	2-2	8	0	0	0	17
Brock Wisne	F	34	6-10	0-1	3-4	8	3	1	0	15
Jaron Rillie	Guard	31	4-12	2-6	1-2	3	4	0	0	11
Saint Thomas	Forward	36	3-11	1-5	2-2	8	6	2	0	9
Dejour Reaves	G	34	3-10	1-4	2-2	0	1	2	0	9
Langston Reynolds	G	13	3-3	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0	6
Zach Bloch	G	11	1-5	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Theo Hughes	Center	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Connor Creech	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Juju Ramirez	Forward	1	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	26	6-9	3-3	2-2	6	2	4	2	17
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	30	7-10	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	1	14
Dragos Lungu	G	30	3-10	0-3	2-4	3	6	0	0	8
Deuce Turner	G	18	2-8	0-2	4-4	2	1	2	0	8
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	14	2-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	31	2-9	0-3	2-5	6	3	0	0	6
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	15	2-6	0-2	2-3	4	1	0	0	6
Dominic Muncey	Guard	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Santiago Trouet	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Steven Jamerson II	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Deven Dahlke	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

97.6Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

46.2%Effective FG%50.8%

49.9%True Shooting %54.0%

13.5%Turnover Rate21.8%

23.1%Free Throw Rate33.9%

44.6%3-Point Rate30.5%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

San Diego won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.