Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Northern Arizona

89.3%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -835

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 68

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 83

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricUC Santa Barbara

36.9MMH Power Index51.4

107.1Offensive Efficiency113.2

114.8Defensive Efficiency106.1

-7.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.8Strength of Schedule-2.0

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

66.6Tempo68.5

53.5%Effective FG%54.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.7%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

33.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-5.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–36.9), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.1), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.8), net efficiency (7.1–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-2.0), ball security (15.8–18.7).

Final

Northern Arizona

59—70

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 11 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

22-57FG25-53

39.0%FG%47.0%

7-263PT5-15

27.0%3PT%33.0%

8-11FT15-21

73.0%FT%71.0%

26Rebounds41

4Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists11

9Turnovers14

6Steals7

1Blocks2

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Jackson	G	31	7-13	0-3	3-4	3	2	2	0	17
Oakland Fort	G	31	4-10	3-6	3-3	2	2	1	0	14
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	38	5-14	2-6	0-0	3	1	1	0	12
Liam Lloyd	Guard	32	2-9	2-8	2-2	6	2	1	0	8
Carson Basham	Forward	26	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	1	4
C.J. Ford	Guard	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Diego Campisano	F	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Rockwell Reynolds	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Arman Madi	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	35	9-15	1-2	11-12	4	5	2	1	30
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	33	5-9	0-1	2-4	10	3	2	0	12
Matija Belic	F	21	3-5	1-2	1-1	2	2	0	0	8
Jason Fontenet II	G	21	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Ariel Bland	F	21	2-4	0-0	1-2	9	0	1	0	5
Yohan Traore	F	16	2-5	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	4
Cole Anderson	Guard	34	1-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Evans Kipruto	C	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

87.3Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency87.3

-16.3Net Efficiency16.3

44.7%Effective FG%51.9%

47.4%True Shooting %55.6%

13.4%Turnover Rate20.6%

19.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

45.6%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.