UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.0%UNC Wilmington

24.0%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -317

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 78

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 70

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricEast Carolina

59.2MMH Power Index44.3

114.1Offensive Efficiency102.0

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.5

12.4Net Efficiency-8.5

-1.5Strength of Schedule2.6

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

66.9Tempo70.1

51.1%Effective FG%46.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.4%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

41.7%Free Throw Rate40.2%

8.3Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–44.3), offensive efficiency (114.1–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.5), net efficiency (12.4–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–-1.5).

Final

UNC Wilmington

66—74

East Carolina

East Carolina by 8 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATEast Carolina

22-56FG23-52

39.0%FG%44.0%

3-233PT8-25

13.0%3PT%32.0%

19-30FT20-32

63.0%FT%63.0%

33Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists8

6Turnovers10

4Steals5

—Blocks—

23Fouls23

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	31	7-16	0-2	6-7	3	1	1	20
Trazarien White	Forward	32	4-9	0-3	6-8	11	1	0	14
Maleeck Harden-Hayes	Guard	32	6-11	1-5	0-1	4	0	1	13
Nick Farrar	Guard	22	2-7	1-4	2-3	1	2	0	7
Khamari McGriff	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	1	4
Donovan Newby	Not Available	26	1-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	3
KJ Jenkins	Guard	17	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	3
Nolan Hodge	G	12	0-2	0-2	2-5	2	0	0	2
Noah Ross	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bobby Pettiford	Guard	34	8-13	3-5	5-6	4	2	2	24
Brandon Johnson	Forward	30	5-11	4-8	4-6	11	1	1	18
Kalib LaCount	Guard	23	5-10	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	11
Quentin Diboundje	Guard	35	1-6	0-2	5-9	6	1	0	7
RJ Felton	Guard	24	2-5	0-2	3-5	4	1	0	7
Cyr Malonga	C	11	2-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	4
Ben Bayela	Guard	10	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	2
Jaden Walker	Guard	13	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	1
Callum Richard	C	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0
Valentino Pinedo	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Logan Bourgeois	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

102.6Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency102.6

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

42.0%Effective FG%51.9%

47.0%True Shooting %55.1%

9.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

53.6%Free Throw Rate61.5%

41.1%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.