Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Illinois State

68.5%UIC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -217

UIC

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 70

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreUIC 75

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricUIC

54.3MMH Power Index56.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency103.3

9.2Net Efficiency7.2

1.0Strength of Schedule0.1

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.2

67.5Tempo68.3

54.3%Effective FG%50.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.2%

6.2Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–103.3), net efficiency (9.2–7.2), strength of schedule (1.0–0.1).

UIC COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.7–54.3), recent form (9.2–-4.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–28.3).

Final

Illinois State

69—64

UIC

Illinois State by 5 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATUIC

25-43FG24-60

58.0%FG%40.0%

3-103PT9-28

30.0%3PT%32.0%

16-24FT7-15

67.0%FT%47.0%

34Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists17

19Turnovers14

8Steals10

4Blocks4

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Burford	Guard	33	7-10	0-1	6-7	3	1	1	1	20
Dalton Banks	Guard	30	7-10	1-2	4-6	1	1	1	0	19
Luke Kasubke	Guard	28	4-5	2-2	1-5	2	1	1	0	11
Myles Foster	Forward	29	4-6	0-1	1-2	8	2	1	1	9
Brandon Lieb	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Kendall Lewis	Forward	29	0-3	0-1	2-2	7	3	2	1	2
Johnny Kinziger	G	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	1	2
Harouna Sissoko	Forward	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	18	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Ty Pence	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	31	6-12	4-10	1-2	3	2	0	1	17
Isaiah Rivera	Guard	33	5-12	1-3	4-7	3	2	2	0	15
CJ Jones	G	37	3-10	2-4	1-2	2	8	1	0	9
Toby Okani	Guard	33	4-13	1-4	0-2	6	2	3	2	9
Marquise Kennedy	Guard	17	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	4
Steven Clay	G	9	1-2	1-2	1-2	0	0	2	0	4
Ethan Pickett	G	23	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Nathan Ojukwu	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

102.5Offensive Efficiency95.1

95.1Defensive Efficiency102.5

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

61.6%Effective FG%47.5%

63.4%True Shooting %47.7%

28.6%Turnover Rate20.6%

55.8%Free Throw Rate25.0%

23.3%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.