UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%UC Davis

62.7%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon State -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon State -168

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreOregon State 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricOregon State

48.4MMH Power Index48.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency105.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

3.5Net Efficiency-4.5

-1.9Strength of Schedule4.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

72.4Tempo67.2

52.3%Effective FG%50.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.9%

2.5Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.2–105.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.3), net efficiency (3.5–-4.5), shooting efficiency (52.3–50.6).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.5–48.4), strength of schedule (4.5–-1.9), recent form (0.0–-0.1).

Final

UC Davis

59—71

Oregon State

Oregon State by 12 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATOregon State

19-53FG21-44

36.0%FG%48.0%

4-223PT5-13

18.0%3PT%38.0%

17-25FT24-28

68.0%FT%86.0%

30Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists10

18Turnovers22

11Steals10

3Blocks1

25Fouls25

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kane Milling	Guard	36	5-13	1-6	0-2	2	1	3	0	11
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	24	2-8	1-4	5-7	3	2	1	0	10
Elijah Pepper	Guard	32	2-13	1-7	4-6	3	2	5	0	9
TY Johnson	Guard	29	3-7	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	9
Francesco Borra	Forward	24	3-5	0-1	2-3	4	1	0	0	8
Pablo Tamba	F	15	2-3	0-1	1-1	3	0	1	0	5
Sam Manu	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Niko Rocak	F	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	2	2
Ade Adebayo	Forward	17	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	4	0	0	1

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chol Marial	Center	28	6-8	1-1	5-5	10	0	0	1	18
Dexter Akanno	Guard	39	4-9	1-3	7-9	4	2	2	0	16
Jordan Pope	G	35	4-11	2-5	5-6	3	3	1	0	15
Michael Rataj	G	25	2-6	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	0	7
Tyler Bilodeau	F	22	2-4	0-1	1-1	1	2	0	0	5
Josiah Lake II	G	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	4	0	4
Christian Wright	Guard	17	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	2	1	0	3
Justin Rochelin	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
KC Ibekwe	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Thomas Ndong	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

82.4Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency82.4

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

39.6%Effective FG%53.4%

45.5%True Shooting %62.0%

25.8%Turnover Rate30.0%

47.2%Free Throw Rate63.6%

41.5%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.45

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.