North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%North Dakota

75.8%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.6

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -313

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 78

Projected Total163.6

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 86

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricCal State Fullerton

43.7MMH Power Index49.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

110.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

-1.0Net Efficiency1.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-1.2

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

70.1Tempo76.3

50.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

37.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-0.7Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–43.7), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.2), net efficiency (1.7–-1.0), strength of schedule (-1.2–-3.4).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–108.8), ball security (14.0–15.1), offensive rebounding (28.9–25.5).

Final

North Dakota

54—64

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 10 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

22-61FG22-53

36.0%FG%42.0%

6-233PT2-13

26.0%3PT%15.0%

4-9FT18-22

44.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds44

13Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists3

9Turnovers13

7Steals3

3Blocks5

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eli King	G	27	6-10	2-4	0-1	9	1	0	0	14
Treysen Eaglestaff	G	38	6-19	1-6	0-0	0	1	1	1	13
Tsotne Tsartsidze	Forward	31	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	10
BJ Omot	F	31	2-12	1-5	1-2	2	2	1	2	6
Elijah Brooks	G	31	1-3	0-1	2-4	8	1	1	0	4
Amar Kuljuhovic	G	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	0	4
Deng Mayar	F	11	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Brady Danielson	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Brian Mathews	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	38	8-18	0-1	3-4	6	1	0	0	19
Max Jones	Guard	34	3-10	0-4	7-7	2	0	3	0	13
Beril Kabamba	Forward	21	2-2	1-1	5-6	6	1	0	0	10
Vincent Lee	Forward	19	3-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	1	7
John Mikey Square	Not Available	14	2-3	0-0	2-3	6	1	0	0	6
Grayson Carper	Guard	34	1-6	1-6	0-0	7	0	0	3	3
Donovan Oday	G	27	1-8	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Jalen Cooper	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Antwan Robinson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

87.9Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency87.9

-16.3Net Efficiency16.3

41.0%Effective FG%43.4%

41.4%True Shooting %50.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate21.2%

14.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

37.7%3-Point Rate24.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.23

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.