San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%San Diego State

44.1%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -127

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 74

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUC San Diego

60.1MMH Power Index53.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency108.4

99.3Defensive Efficiency100.7

11.0Net Efficiency7.7

3.8Strength of Schedule-1.3

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

70.8Tempo69.8

53.2%Effective FG%53.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate33.2%

7.8Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–53.4), offensive efficiency (110.3–108.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–100.7), net efficiency (11.0–7.7).

UC San Diego COUNTERS WITHrecent form (5.4–0.4), ball security (16.4–17.2).

Final

San Diego State

63—62

UC San Diego

San Diego State by 1 • 60.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUC San Diego

26-63FG23-58

41.0%FG%40.0%

8-213PT10-29

38.0%3PT%34.0%

3-4FT6-7

75.0%FT%86.0%

43Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists12

10Turnovers4

2Steals5

4Blocks4

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Parrish	Guard	36	6-12	2-5	1-1	10	1	2	0	15
Elijah Saunders	F	31	5-6	3-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	13
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	30	6-12	1-1	0-0	10	2	0	2	13
Lamont Butler	Guard	32	4-11	2-4	0-0	2	5	0	0	10
Darrion Trammell	Guard	33	1-11	0-4	2-3	3	5	0	0	4
Reese Waters	Guard	17	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Miles Heide	F	13	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jay Pal	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Pope	Guard	40	7-15	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	15
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	38	4-14	4-10	3-4	4	0	0	0	15
Hayden Gray	Guard	38	6-11	3-6	0-0	5	5	2	1	15
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	28	3-10	0-1	1-1	6	4	2	0	7
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	4
Justin DeGraaf	Forward	20	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	2	0	1	3
Camden McCormick	Guard	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Michael Pearson Jr.	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.6Possessions60.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency104.0

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

47.6%Effective FG%48.3%

48.5%True Shooting %50.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate6.6%

6.3%Free Throw Rate12.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 60.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.