Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%Saint Mary's

32.3%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -210

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 76

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreBoise State 72

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricBoise State

70.7MMH Power Index59.5

116.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

97.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

19.3Net Efficiency6.8

3.0Strength of Schedule4.2

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

66.3Tempo68.6

53.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate42.7%

12.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–107.1), net efficiency (19.3–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.0), free throw rate (42.7–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

60—63

Boise State

Boise State by 3 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATBoise State

23-49FG21-44

47.0%FG%48.0%

2-143PT5-13

14.0%3PT%38.0%

12-24FT16-24

50.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists13

14Turnovers11

7Steals6

4Blocks3

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	40	6-15	1-5	6-6	4	2	1	0	19
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	37	7-12	1-3	2-2	1	4	5	1	17
Mitchell Saxen	Center	27	4-6	0-0	0-5	8	1	1	0	8
Joshua Jefferson	F	14	2-5	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Alex Ducas	Guard	33	2-8	0-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	5
Mason Forbes	Forward	25	2-2	0-0	0-3	3	0	0	3	4
Harry Wessels	C	13	0-1	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	0	1
Chris Howell	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Ross	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Barrett	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	37	5-9	1-1	6-9	4	5	1	1	17
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	36	3-9	1-3	4-5	8	0	1	0	11
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	13	3-3	0-0	4-6	0	1	1	0	10
Roddie Anderson	G	25	3-6	0-0	1-2	3	3	0	0	7
Andrew Meadow	F	14	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
R.J. Keene II	G	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Jace Whiting	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Cam Martin	Forward	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Kobe Young	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Max Rice	Guard	16	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Mohamed Sylla	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

95.4Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency95.4

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

49.0%Effective FG%53.4%

49.7%True Shooting %56.9%

21.7%Turnover Rate17.9%

49.0%Free Throw Rate54.5%

28.6%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Boise State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.