Bucknell

10-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.4%Bucknell

77.6%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -346

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBucknell 71

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScorePenn State 79

Team Comparison

BucknellMetricPenn State

35.7MMH Power Index42.3

99.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

112.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

-13.3Net Efficiency-8.4

2.0Strength of Schedule5.3

-11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.7Tempo67.5

48.4%Effective FG%53.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-8.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.3–35.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–99.5), net efficiency (-8.4–-13.3), strength of schedule (5.3–2.0).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.8–117.6), recent form (-11.5–-20.8), offensive rebounding (26.6–25.6).

Final

Bucknell

76—67

Penn State

Bucknell by 9 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BucknellTEAM STATPenn State

29-50FG23-49

58.0%FG%47.0%

10-213PT4-19

48.0%3PT%21.0%

8-11FT17-22

73.0%FT%77.0%

25Rebounds24

4Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists15

14Turnovers12

10Steals6

2Blocks1

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Forrest	Guard	36	8-14	5-7	2-2	4	2	3	0	23
Noah Williamson	C	36	9-13	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	21
Josh Bascoe	Guard	36	3-7	1-4	4-6	5	10	3	0	11
Ruot Bijiek	F	36	3-8	2-4	0-0	4	2	2	0	8
Ian Motta	F	17	4-4	0-0	0-1	1	1	1	1	8
Quin Berger	G	17	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Pip Ajayi	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Josh Adoh	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brady Muller	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon McCreesh	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Qudus Wahab	Forward	32	7-8	0-0	4-6	8	3	0	0	18
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	33	5-10	0-3	7-7	1	3	4	0	17
Zach Hicks	Forward	37	4-6	3-5	2-2	7	2	0	1	13
Puff Johnson	G	22	2-7	1-4	2-4	3	0	1	0	7
Kanye Clary	G	29	2-8	0-3	0-0	0	6	1	0	4
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	21	2-4	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	4
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	7	1-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

116.2Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency116.2

13.8Net Efficiency-13.8

68.0%Effective FG%51.0%

68.8%True Shooting %56.3%

21.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

22.0%Free Throw Rate44.9%

42.0%3-Point Rate38.8%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Bucknell won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.