Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%Valparaiso

86.2%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -625

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 69

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreBelmont 83

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricBelmont

49.9MMH Power Index61.8

106.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

105.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

0.8Net Efficiency14.9

0.3Strength of Schedule-0.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.5Tempo70.7

48.7%Effective FG%60.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

0.5Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–49.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–106.6), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.8), net efficiency (14.9–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (15.6–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.8).

Final

Valparaiso

68—77

Belmont

Belmont by 9 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATBelmont

30-72FG30-58

42.0%FG%52.0%

7-233PT8-22

30.0%3PT%36.0%

1-2FT9-16

50.0%FT%56.0%

31Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists17

11Turnovers19

11Steals9

3Blocks3

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	33	10-20	1-5	0-0	4	2	3	1	21
Cooper Schwieger	F	33	8-14	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	2	18
Jaxon Edwards	G	23	4-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Jahari Williamson	G	19	2-8	2-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	32	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	5	2	0	5
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	20	2-12	0-4	0-0	2	2	3	0	4
Ola Ajiboye	F	22	1-3	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	0	3
Jerome Palm	F	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Kaspar Sepp	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	24	8-15	1-5	1-5	10	2	1	0	18
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	32	5-8	1-3	3-4	3	5	2	0	14
Jayce Willingham	Guard	31	4-10	1-4	3-4	8	1	3	1	12
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	32	4-4	2-2	1-1	3	4	1	0	11
Isaiah Walker	G	35	4-9	1-4	0-0	6	3	1	0	9
Brigham Rogers	F	21	2-5	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	2	5
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	11	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Win Miller	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jake Dykstra	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

94.7Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency94.7

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

46.5%Effective FG%58.6%

46.6%True Shooting %58.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate26.5%

2.8%Free Throw Rate27.6%

31.9%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Belmont won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.