Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.7%Saint Francis

90.3%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -931

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 67

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreAmerican University 84

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricAmerican University

32.7MMH Power Index48.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

114.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

-13.5Net Efficiency4.8

-2.3Strength of Schedule-4.3

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

70.6Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%52.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

31.2%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-9.5Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–32.7), offensive efficiency (110.6–101.2), defensive efficiency (105.8–114.7), net efficiency (4.8–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-4.3), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.0), free throw rate (31.2–30.1).

Final

Saint Francis

75—73

American University

Saint Francis by 2 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATAmerican University

25-56FG27-57

45.0%FG%47.0%

11-283PT11-29

39.0%3PT%38.0%

14-19FT8-11

74.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists17

9Turnovers15

9Steals7

4Blocks2

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	32	6-12	4-9	0-1	4	4	3	0	16
Cam Gregory	G	35	5-10	2-6	2-2	2	3	3	1	14
Carlos Lopez	G	26	3-9	2-7	4-4	2	2	0	0	12
Elijah Wilborn	F	22	3-4	0-0	5-6	11	1	1	3	11
Miles Webb	F	17	4-8	1-2	1-2	4	2	1	0	10
Ace Talbert	G	30	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	5	0	0	5
Aidan Harris	Forward	15	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Gestin Liberis	F	16	0-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	2
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Moncrief	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	31	8-16	4-7	4-5	15	0	1	2	24
Elijah Stephens	Guard	31	7-11	2-4	1-2	0	2	1	0	17
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	9	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	26	2-9	1-7	2-2	7	4	1	0	7
Colin Smalls	Guard	24	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Matt Mayock	F	20	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Lincoln Ball	Guard	32	1-3	0-1	1-2	6	4	3	0	3
Greg Jones	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Geoff Sprouse	G	17	0-6	0-4	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Noah Jones	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

114.3Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency114.3

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

54.5%Effective FG%57.0%

57.7%True Shooting %58.7%

13.8%Turnover Rate22.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate19.3%

50.0%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Saint Francis won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.