South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%South Carolina Upstate

41.1%North Carolina Central

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Carolina Upstate -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Carolina Upstate -143

North Carolina Central

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 75

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 74

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricNorth Carolina Central

43.6MMH Power Index35.8

104.5Offensive Efficiency104.9

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.2

0.8Net Efficiency-5.3

-3.8Strength of Schedule-8.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

71.1Tempo68.5

50.3%Effective FG%49.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

34.0%Free Throw Rate39.7%

0.6Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Carolina Upstate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Carolina Upstate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–35.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.2), net efficiency (0.8–-5.3), strength of schedule (-3.8–-8.0).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.9–104.5), offensive rebounding (30.9–30.1), free throw rate (39.7–34.0).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

87—82

North Carolina Central

South Carolina Upstate by 5 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATNorth Carolina Central

30-56FG25-45

54.0%FG%56.0%

12-293PT4-9

41.0%3PT%44.0%

15-19FT28-38

79.0%FT%74.0%

25Rebounds20

9Offensive Rebounds5

23Assists11

20Turnovers15

7Steals12

3Blocks4

26Fouls17

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	27	5-7	4-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	14
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	22	6-7	0-0	2-3	3	2	0	0	14
Justin Bailey	G	23	4-6	3-4	2-2	1	2	3	1	13
Miguel Ayesa	Guard	17	3-6	3-6	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Nick Alves	Guard	22	3-5	1-2	2-4	3	1	0	0	9
Trae Broadnax	G	25	3-4	0-1	2-2	5	7	1	0	8
Jordyn Surratt	F	24	2-6	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	2	5
Eddie Placer	G	7	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	28	2-8	0-4	0-0	0	5	2	0	4
Jorge Ochoa	F	5	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	2

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Perry Smith Jr.	C	23	6-6	0-0	5-6	5	0	4	1	17
Po'Boigh King	G	38	6-11	1-2	3-6	4	3	1	0	16
Josh Smith	G	24	3-9	1-3	9-12	3	4	1	0	16
Timmy Adedire	Forward	28	3-5	0-0	4-4	2	1	2	0	10
Devin Gordon	Forward	25	3-3	1-1	0-1	0	1	1	1	7
Fred Cleveland Jr.	Guard	16	2-5	1-1	2-2	2	1	1	1	7
Keishon Porter	G	22	0-1	0-0	5-6	1	0	1	1	5
Cobey Harraway	Guard	15	1-2	0-1	0-1	3	1	1	0	2
Ja'Darius Harris	Guard	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Guy Fauntleroy	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

116.6Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency116.6

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

64.3%Effective FG%60.0%

66.9%True Shooting %65.0%

26.3%Turnover Rate20.5%

33.9%Free Throw Rate84.4%

51.8%3-Point Rate20.0%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

South Carolina Upstate won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.