Wright State

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Wright State

51.3%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDavidson -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDavidson -105

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWright State 73

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreDavidson 75

Team Comparison

Wright StateMetricDavidson

57.1MMH Power Index53

116.4Offensive Efficiency109.9

106.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

9.9Net Efficiency6.2

-2.0Strength of Schedule0.1

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

69.2Tempo65.5

55.2%Effective FG%53.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

38.3%Free Throw Rate32.9%

6.8Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (116.4–109.9), net efficiency (9.9–6.2), recent form (7.0–-0.6).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.5), strength of schedule (0.1–-2.0), ball security (15.6–16.1).

Final

Wright State

73—82

Davidson

Davidson by 9 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wright StateTEAM STATDavidson

31-62FG30-52

50.0%FG%58.0%

4-103PT11-30

40.0%3PT%37.0%

7-11FT11-19

64.0%FT%58.0%

26Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists15

8Turnovers13

8Steals4

—Blocks4

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Calvin	Guard	35	7-17	1-3	2-2	1	3	1	17
AJ Braun	Forward	21	7-8	0-0	2-3	4	2	0	16
Tanner Holden	Guard	34	7-13	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	14
Brandon Noel	F	36	5-11	1-3	0-0	6	1	1	11
Drey Carter	F	17	1-4	0-0	3-6	3	0	2	5
Andrew Welage	Guard	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	4
Alex Huibregtse	G	33	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	3
Kaden Brown	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Logan Woods	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Grant Huffman	Guard	35	8-12	1-5	3-4	5	7	0	0	20
David Skogman	Forward	33	7-13	4-9	1-4	5	0	1	0	19
Reed Bailey	F	32	5-8	0-2	4-7	8	4	0	1	14
Bobby Durkin	F	29	5-8	3-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	13
Connor Kochera	Guard	31	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Angelo Brizzi	G	18	1-3	1-3	2-2	4	3	2	0	5
Sean Logan	F	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	3	3
Hunter Adam	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Achile Spadone	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

110.4Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency110.4

-13.6Net Efficiency13.6

53.2%Effective FG%68.3%

54.3%True Shooting %67.2%

12.1%Turnover Rate19.7%

17.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

16.1%3-Point Rate57.7%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Davidson won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.