Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Saint Louis

30.2%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -231

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricSouthern Illinois

66.7MMH Power Index54.6

120.8Offensive Efficiency103.4

97.6Defensive Efficiency98.5

23.2Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

72.2Tempo70.6

59.9%Effective FG%49.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate32.3%

16.8Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–54.6), offensive efficiency (120.8–103.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.5), net efficiency (23.2–4.9).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.6–0.3), recent form (7.7–0.1), ball security (17.0–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

62—101

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 39 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

22-51FG37-56

43.0%FG%66.0%

4-183PT18-29

22.0%3PT%62.0%

14-24FT9-14

58.0%FT%64.0%

29Rebounds27

13Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists25

19Turnovers12

7Steals16

3Blocks6

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tim Dalger	Forward	37	6-14	0-4	6-11	2	2	0	1	18
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	36	4-6	0-1	2-3	1	3	0	0	10
Kellen Thames	G	23	4-7	0-1	2-4	11	2	0	0	10
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	30	3-9	1-4	2-2	8	1	3	1	9
Cian Medley	G	24	2-9	1-4	2-2	0	0	2	1	7
Djordje Curcic	G	19	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Bruce Zhang	Center	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Larry Hughes II	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Meadows Jr.	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Stef van Bussel	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	32	11-15	6-8	3-3	3	7	5	0	31
Troy D'Amico	Forward	32	8-11	3-5	1-2	3	3	1	3	20
Clarence Rupert	Forward	25	6-6	0-0	2-4	7	3	3	2	14
Jovan Stulic	Guard	22	4-6	3-5	3-3	3	3	3	0	14
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	33	4-6	3-5	0-2	3	2	2	0	11
Trent Brown	Guard	35	3-6	3-6	0-0	4	6	1	1	9
Scottie Ebube	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Trey Miller	G	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
R.J. McGee	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

89.7Offensive Efficiency146.2

146.2Defensive Efficiency89.7

-56.4Net Efficiency56.4

47.1%Effective FG%82.1%

49.7%True Shooting %80.6%

27.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

47.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

35.3%3-Point Rate51.8%

0.47Assist / Turnover2.08

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 39 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.