Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Wagner

71.5%Stony Brook

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStony Brook -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStony Brook -251

Stony Brook

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 68

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreStony Brook 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricStony Brook

42.9MMH Power Index46.6

105.5Offensive Efficiency105.9

106.1Defensive Efficiency105.0

-0.6Net Efficiency0.9

-5.0Strength of Schedule-0.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

67.6Tempo67.7

50.2%Effective FG%51.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.6%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

31.6%Free Throw Rate28.9%

-0.4Average Margin0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stony Brook HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStony Brook holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.6–42.9), offensive efficiency (105.9–105.5), defensive efficiency (105.0–106.1), net efficiency (0.9–-0.6).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHrecent form (0.3–-3.8), offensive rebounding (34.0–28.5), free throw rate (31.6–28.9).

Final

Wagner

60—59

Stony Brook

Wagner by 1 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATStony Brook

23-62FG25-59

37.0%FG%42.0%

9-313PT5-20

29.0%3PT%25.0%

5-10FT4-10

50.0%FT%40.0%

35Rebounds46

10Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists13

6Turnovers14

7Steals—

1Blocks5

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javier Ezquerra	G	31	5-11	3-8	0-0	3	5	3	0	13
Melvin Council Jr.	G	29	6-16	1-5	0-1	6	1	1	0	13
Zaire Williams	G	27	3-9	2-7	3-6	3	0	1	0	11
Tahron Allen	Not Available	17	3-5	3-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Keyontae Lewis	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	17	2-5	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Rob Taylor II	F	23	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Tyje Kelton	F	19	0-4	0-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	2
Julian Brown	Guard	16	0-5	0-4	0-1	1	1	0	0	0
Seck Zongo	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stony Brook

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Tyler Stephenson-Moore	Guard	33	7-13	1-5	1-3	4	0	3	16
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	22	4-9	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	9
Jared Frey	G	33	3-10	1-5	1-2	3	4	0	8
Chris Maidoh	Not Available	19	4-5	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	8
Dean Noll	Guard	35	2-9	2-5	0-0	8	3	0	6
Andre Snoddy	Guard	29	3-7	0-0	0-0	9	2	2	6
Toby Onyekonwu	G	16	1-3	1-3	1-2	3	2	0	4
Ra'Sean Frederick	Guard	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2
Kaiden Space	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Leon Nahar	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

94.0Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency94.0

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

44.4%Effective FG%46.6%

44.9%True Shooting %46.3%

9.6%Turnover Rate21.6%

16.1%Free Throw Rate16.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Wagner won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.