Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Missouri State

49.6%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -102

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 75

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreDrake 76

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricDrake

51.1MMH Power Index46.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.5

108.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

2.1Net Efficiency0.4

0.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

67.9Tempo68.6

51.8%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.4Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–109.1), net efficiency (2.1–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.2–51.8), ball security (14.9–16.4).

Final

Missouri State

57—74

Drake

Drake by 17 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATDrake

22-62FG32-74

35.0%FG%43.0%

5-223PT6-27

23.0%3PT%22.0%

8-11FT4-5

73.0%FT%80.0%

43Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists15

14Turnovers6

2Steals9

4Blocks3

6Fouls9

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	29	6-14	1-5	4-5	6	0	0	0	17
Tyler Bey	G	21	4-7	1-3	1-2	5	1	1	1	10
Donovan Clay	Guard	32	3-13	0-4	3-4	5	2	1	1	9
Raphe Ayres	Guard	21	3-3	3-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Matthew Lee	Guard	32	3-13	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	6
Cesare Edwards	Center	17	2-6	0-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
NJ Benson	F	21	1-4	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	2	2
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	25	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tommy Pinegar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kanon Gipson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	35	10-19	3-9	1-1	5	2	3	1	24
Darnell Brodie	Forward	32	6-10	0-0	0-1	9	1	1	2	12
Kevin Overton	G	31	4-8	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	11
Conor Enright	G	21	3-7	2-4	0-0	6	5	1	0	8
Atin Wright	Guard	23	3-10	0-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Kyron Gibson	Guard	20	2-8	0-4	1-1	1	5	1	0	5
Nate Ferguson	Forward	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Colby Garland	G	18	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Carlos Rosario	Forward	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Eric Northweather	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Alia	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brashon Hall	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

81.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency81.1

-24.2Net Efficiency24.2

39.5%Effective FG%47.3%

42.4%True Shooting %48.4%

20.5%Turnover Rate8.3%

17.7%Free Throw Rate6.8%

35.5%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.43Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Drake won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.