Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Austin Peay

64.0%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -178

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 77

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreTennessee State 81

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricTennessee State

54.8MMH Power Index55.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency102.7

11.9Net Efficiency8.2

-5.8Strength of Schedule-3.1

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

71.0Tempo72.4

53.9%Effective FG%50.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

39.0%Free Throw Rate34.7%

8.4Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.0–110.9), net efficiency (11.9–8.2), shooting efficiency (53.9–50.9), ball security (15.3–17.0).

Tennessee State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (55.4–54.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–103.1), strength of schedule (-3.1–-5.8).

Final

Austin Peay

65—69

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 4 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATTennessee State

24-54FG21-54

44.0%FG%39.0%

7-203PT3-18

35.0%3PT%17.0%

10-16FT24-35

63.0%FT%69.0%

37Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists9

17Turnovers11

5Steals5

3Blocks—

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	38	6-11	5-9	2-2	7	0	0	0	19
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	35	9-23	0-0	1-3	6	7	2	3	19
Sai Witt	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	5-9	4	0	0	0	9
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Dez White	G	35	1-7	1-7	2-2	5	1	0	0	5
Dezi Jones	Guard	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	3	2	0	3
Daniel Loos	Forward	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Jonathan Dunn	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	34	6-11	2-5	4-7	4	1	0	18
Christian Brown	Guard	30	4-8	0-2	9-9	4	0	1	17
Jaylen Jones	G	30	5-14	1-4	1-5	4	4	1	12
Michael Shanks	Forward	22	0-5	0-4	8-9	2	0	0	8
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	24	3-8	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	6
EJ Bellinger	Guard	25	2-4	0-1	1-3	8	1	0	5
David Acosta	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	3
Justin Williams	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0
Denim Dawson	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

95.4Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.3Defensive Efficiency95.4

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

50.9%Effective FG%41.7%

52.8%True Shooting %48.8%

25.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.6%Free Throw Rate64.8%

37.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.