Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Sacramento State

57.4%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINELong Beach State -135

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 82

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricLong Beach State

43MMH Power Index41.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency103.8

112.0Defensive Efficiency107.8

-5.9Net Efficiency-4.0

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

73.2Tempo72.2

48.5%Effective FG%51.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-4.3Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Long Beach State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLong Beach State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (107.8–112.0), net efficiency (-4.0–-5.9), recent form (-6.7–-7.8), shooting efficiency (51.5–48.5).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (43.0–41.1), offensive efficiency (106.1–103.8), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.4).

Final

Sacramento State

73—83

Long Beach State

Long Beach State by 10 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATLong Beach State

24-58FG33-68

41.0%FG%49.0%

8-283PT6-23

29.0%3PT%26.0%

17-26FT11-19

65.0%FT%58.0%

41Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists23

15Turnovers8

4Steals6

4Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Betson	Guard	36	5-16	2-9	5-8	2	3	0	0	17
Zee Hamoda	G	32	4-16	3-9	4-4	6	2	0	0	15
Duncan Powell	F	26	5-10	0-1	1-4	6	4	2	1	11
Alex Kovatchev	G	31	3-6	2-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	8
Akol Mawein	Forward	23	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	2	6
Austin Patterson	Guard	18	2-4	1-3	1-2	6	2	0	0	6
Jacob Holt	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	2-4	3	1	0	1	6
Bowyn Beatty	F	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Emil Skytt	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bailey Nunn	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadon Jones	G	36	8-14	3-6	5-6	6	1	0	0	24
Lassina Traore	F	27	7-12	0-0	4-7	11	2	0	1	18
Isa Silva	G	25	4-8	1-3	0-1	1	6	1	0	9
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	27	4-6	0-2	0-1	8	6	1	1	8
Messiah Thompson	Guard	17	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	3	2	0	6
AJ George	G	23	2-8	0-2	1-3	3	2	0	0	5
Amari Stroud	Forward	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	5
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Chayce Polynice	Center	5	1-3	0-1	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Varick Lewis	G	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

101.1Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency101.1

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

48.3%Effective FG%52.9%

51.9%True Shooting %53.9%

20.7%Turnover Rate11.1%

44.8%Free Throw Rate27.9%

48.3%3-Point Rate33.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.88

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.