UMass Lowell

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%UMass Lowell

83.4%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -502

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 66

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreMerrimack 77

Team Comparison

UMass LowellMetricMerrimack

43.8MMH Power Index53.7

107.9Offensive Efficiency106.4

109.9Defensive Efficiency103.2

-2.0Net Efficiency3.2

-4.6Strength of Schedule0.7

1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

69.4Tempo64.4

51.0%Effective FG%49.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.8%

35.1%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-1.4Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–43.8), defensive efficiency (103.2–109.9), net efficiency (3.2–-2.0), strength of schedule (0.7–-4.6).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.9–106.4), shooting efficiency (51.0–49.3), offensive rebounding (35.1–24.7).

Final

UMass Lowell

68—74

Merrimack

Merrimack by 6 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMass LowellTEAM STATMerrimack

26-56FG22-54

46.0%FG%41.0%

3-113PT6-19

27.0%3PT%32.0%

13-19FT24-29

68.0%FT%83.0%

32Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists14

17Turnovers14

8Steals11

6Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Brooks	Forward	29	9-13	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	18
Ayinde Hikim	Guard	34	5-12	1-2	1-4	3	3	3	0	12
Quinton Mincey	Guard	28	3-8	1-2	4-5	5	2	2	2	11
Brayden O'Connor	G	34	2-5	0-1	6-7	6	4	0	0	10
Yuri Covington	Guard	30	4-7	1-3	0-0	4	1	2	0	9
Xzavier Lino	Forward	18	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Cam Morris III	F	17	2-5	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	3	4
Andres Fulgencio	Guard	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Anthony Maxwell	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Derkack	G	36	9-15	1-3	14-17	5	4	3	1	33
Devon Savage	Guard	30	4-10	2-7	2-2	3	0	1	0	12
Samba Diallo	Forward	25	2-3	1-1	4-4	5	2	3	0	9
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	23	3-7	1-2	1-2	7	1	0	1	8
Bryan Etumnu	F	16	2-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	2	5
Adam Clark	G	25	1-6	0-1	2-2	3	4	4	0	4
Jaylen Stinson	G	20	1-7	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Jordan McKoy	Guard	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

94.6Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency94.6

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

49.1%Effective FG%46.3%

52.3%True Shooting %54.6%

23.6%Turnover Rate19.5%

33.9%Free Throw Rate53.7%

19.6%3-Point Rate35.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.