George Mason

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%George Mason

67.5%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -208

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorge Mason 73

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Team Comparison

George MasonMetricToledo

56.8MMH Power Index58.8

112.9Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.5Defensive Efficiency109.6

8.4Net Efficiency6.4

2.8Strength of Schedule2.3

-5.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

64.9Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%55.1%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

43.6%Free Throw Rate30.3%

5.5Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

George Mason HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorge Mason holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.5–109.6), net efficiency (8.4–6.4), strength of schedule (2.8–2.3), offensive rebounding (31.7–30.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.8–56.8), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.9), recent form (10.2–-5.0).

Final

George Mason

86—77

Toledo

George Mason by 9 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

George MasonTEAM STATToledo

31-60FG24-57

52.0%FG%42.0%

8-153PT5-14

53.0%3PT%36.0%

16-18FT24-30

89.0%FT%80.0%

39Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists9

13Turnovers9

6Steals8

5Blocks7

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

George Mason

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amari Kelly	Forward	28	8-11	2-3	6-7	10	2	1	2	24
Ronald Polite III	Guard	40	6-14	2-4	0-0	1	4	2	0	14
Darius Maddox	Guard	38	6-11	2-3	0-0	6	4	1	0	14
Malik Henry	Forward	11	3-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2	8
Woody Newton	Guard	23	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
Keyshawn Hall	F	21	1-5	1-1	4-4	7	1	0	0	7
Baraka Okojie	G	22	1-6	0-2	4-4	6	1	2	0	6
Tre' Wood	Guard	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Jared Billups	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	33	7-16	3-7	8-9	1	2	3	0	25
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	32	5-9	0-0	3-5	4	1	1	2	13
Javan Simmons	F	31	2-4	0-1	7-8	5	1	1	5	11
Tyler Cochran	G	30	3-11	0-1	3-4	9	2	3	0	9
Sonny Wilson	G	14	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Bryce Ford	G	10	2-3	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Grgur Brcic	F	17	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ben Wight	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sam Lewis	G	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

124.8Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency124.8

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

58.3%Effective FG%46.5%

62.7%True Shooting %54.0%

19.0%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate52.6%

25.0%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

George Mason won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.