UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%UC Irvine

79.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -376

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 71

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricUtah State

58.4MMH Power Index65.7

106.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

95.0Defensive Efficiency103.1

11.9Net Efficiency16.6

-1.0Strength of Schedule3.5

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

72.3Tempo68.6

50.7%Effective FG%56.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

36.5%Free Throw Rate39.1%

8.6Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–58.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–106.9), net efficiency (16.6–11.9), strength of schedule (3.5–-1.0).

UC Irvine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.0–103.1), recent form (10.0–0.3), offensive rebounding (33.1–33.0).

Final

UC Irvine

69—79

Utah State

Utah State by 10 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATUtah State

27-57FG30-59

47.0%FG%51.0%

5-133PT8-24

38.0%3PT%33.0%

10-14FT11-15

71.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists16

11Turnovers9

5Steals6

2Blocks6

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Hohn	Guard	30	8-11	4-6	1-3	1	2	1	0	21
Dean Keeler	Forward	24	7-12	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	2	15
Derin Saran	G	23	5-10	0-1	1-1	7	3	1	0	11
Carter Welling	F	15	2-4	0-0	4-5	2	0	0	0	8
Devin Tillis	F	14	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	22	2-6	0-0	0-0	1	8	0	0	4
Andre Henry	G	19	0-3	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Langston Redfield	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	0
Hayden Welling	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	33	8-12	3-4	0-0	5	1	1	1	19
Great Osobor	Forward	34	6-10	0-0	5-6	4	2	0	2	17
Ian Martinez	Guard	29	5-10	1-4	1-2	2	3	2	0	12
Josh Uduje	Guard	19	5-7	1-2	1-3	3	1	1	0	12
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	24	3-10	1-7	2-2	7	0	0	0	9
Isaac Johnson	C	13	1-4	1-3	2-2	0	0	1	0	5
Darius Brown II	Guard	38	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	9	1	2	3
Karson Templin	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency105.5

-15.3Net Efficiency15.3

51.8%Effective FG%57.6%

54.2%True Shooting %59.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate25.4%

22.8%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Utah State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.