Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%Florida Gulf Coast

87.5%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -700

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 68

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreCincinnati 81

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricCincinnati

48.6MMH Power Index61.5

110.5Offensive Efficiency105.3

109.2Defensive Efficiency97.3

1.3Net Efficiency8.0

-1.8Strength of Schedule5.1

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

70.0Tempo69.4

52.1%Effective FG%50.6%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

29.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.9Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–48.6), defensive efficiency (97.3–109.2), net efficiency (8.0–1.3), strength of schedule (5.1–-1.8).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–105.3), shooting efficiency (52.1–50.6), ball security (15.7–17.0).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

62—99

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 37 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATCincinnati

28-68FG39-69

41.0%FG%57.0%

5-173PT11-19

29.0%3PT%58.0%

1-3FT10-13

33.0%FT%77.0%

23Rebounds46

9Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists23

9Turnovers10

6Steals8

4Blocks4

10Fouls11

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keeshawn Kellman	Forward	28	11-16	0-1	1-2	6	1	0	2	23
Chase Johnston	G	25	4-12	2-8	0-0	2	2	0	0	10
Rahmir Barno	G	33	4-8	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	1	8
Zach Anderson	Forward	31	4-9	0-0	0-1	2	2	2	0	8
Dallion Johnson	Guard	31	3-12	2-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Dakota Rivers	Forward	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	5
Franco Miller Jr.	Guard	24	0-5	0-1	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Cyrus Largie	Guard	10	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Josiah Shackleford	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	26	6-7	5-6	2-3	1	0	0	0	19
Viktor Lakhin	Center	24	8-10	1-1	2-3	9	6	1	1	19
Ody Oguama	Forward	19	6-8	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	13
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	24	5-8	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2	10
Jizzle James	G	18	3-6	0-1	3-4	5	4	0	0	9
CJ Anthony	G	5	2-4	2-4	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
John Newman III	Forward	25	3-7	1-1	0-0	4	3	1	0	7
Day Day Thomas	G	20	3-7	1-2	0-0	1	4	4	0	7
Josh Reed	F	12	2-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	21	1-7	0-1	1-1	12	4	0	0	3
Sage Tolentino	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Kirkwood	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Landen Long	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

89.5Offensive Efficiency142.9

142.9Defensive Efficiency89.5

-53.4Net Efficiency53.4

44.9%Effective FG%64.5%

44.7%True Shooting %65.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

4.4%Free Throw Rate18.8%

25.0%3-Point Rate27.5%

1.56Assist / Turnover2.30

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 37 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.