Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Auburn

34.8%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -187

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 76

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreApp State 75

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricApp State

64.4MMH Power Index54.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency110.9

113.0Defensive Efficiency101.7

5.8Net Efficiency9.2

7.5Strength of Schedule-4.2

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

69.8Tempo64.9

53.1%Effective FG%51.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

4.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–54.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–110.9), strength of schedule (7.5–-4.2), recent form (8.0–7.0).

App State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.7–113.0), net efficiency (9.2–5.8), average scoring margin (6.0–4.1).

Final

Auburn

64—69

App State

App State by 5 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATApp State

26-66FG22-51

39.0%FG%43.0%

3-273PT8-17

11.0%3PT%47.0%

9-19FT17-23

47.0%FT%74.0%

48Rebounds32

20Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists9

10Turnovers7

3Steals6

2Blocks2

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	27	10-16	0-3	1-7	13	1	0	2	21
Tre Donaldson	G	23	5-12	2-5	0-0	3	5	1	0	12
Aden Holloway	G	26	2-10	0-6	4-5	0	2	0	0	8
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	18	2-9	1-5	2-2	4	3	0	0	7
Jaylin Williams	Forward	22	3-5	0-1	0-1	3	0	0	0	6
Dylan Cardwell	Center	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Chaney Johnson	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	14	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Lior Berman	Guard	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Denver Jones	Guard	17	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	4	0	0	0
K.D. Johnson	Guard	8	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	26	5-8	2-3	6-9	3	2	0	0	18
Donovan Gregory	Forward	34	5-10	0-0	2-2	6	4	1	0	12
Terence Harcum	Guard	30	3-10	2-4	4-4	2	0	0	0	12
CJ Huntley	Forward	31	3-4	2-3	2-2	5	0	3	0	10
Jordan Marsh	G	16	4-9	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	28	1-4	0-0	3-4	5	1	2	1	5
Christopher Mantis	Forward	18	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Justin Abson	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	0
Xavion Brown	Guard	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

100.0Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency100.0

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

41.7%Effective FG%51.0%

42.7%True Shooting %55.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate11.1%

28.8%Free Throw Rate45.1%

40.9%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

App State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.