Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.2%Fairfield

13.8%Rider

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -625

Rider

4-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreRider 66

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricRider

50.1MMH Power Index29.1

109.6Offensive Efficiency96.3

105.4Defensive Efficiency115.3

4.2Net Efficiency-19.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-0.9

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.7

67.8Tempo65.9

49.1%Effective FG%43.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.1%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %32.8%

28.4%Free Throw Rate31.5%

2.8Average Margin-12.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–29.1), offensive efficiency (109.6–96.3), defensive efficiency (105.4–115.3), net efficiency (4.2–-19.0).

Rider COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-3.4), free throw rate (31.5–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

88—81

Rider

Fairfield by 7 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATRider

26-50FG31-76

52.0%FG%41.0%

9-193PT1-12

47.0%3PT%8.0%

27-32FT18-24

84.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds24

12Assists8

13Turnovers11

8Steals10

5Blocks1

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	31	7-11	2-2	6-6	1	3	0	0	22
Peyton Smith	F	32	4-6	0-1	8-10	10	1	1	5	16
Jasper Floyd	G	31	3-5	1-1	8-8	4	3	3	0	15
Caleb Fields	Guard	32	4-10	2-6	1-2	5	1	1	0	11
Brycen Goodine	Guard	24	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	10
James Johns Jr.	Guard	16	2-3	2-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	21	2-6	0-2	1-2	5	2	0	0	5
Jack Brown	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Michael Rogan	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rider

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mervin James	Forward	38	10-23	0-1	7-10	6	2	2	1	27
Allen Powell	Guard	28	6-12	1-5	4-6	4	1	1	0	17
T.J. Weeks Jr.	Guard	35	4-9	0-3	5-5	9	0	3	0	13
Tariq Ingraham	F	13	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Corey McKeithan	Guard	39	1-10	0-2	2-2	6	3	2	0	4
Ife West-Ingram	F	17	2-6	0-0	0-1	6	2	2	0	4
DJ Dudley	Guard	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Moustapha Sanoh	Forward	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Anthony McCall	G	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ruben Rodriguez Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jeffrey Langston Jr.	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

120.9Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency120.9

9.6Net Efficiency-9.6

61.0%Effective FG%41.4%

67.5%True Shooting %46.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

64.0%Free Throw Rate31.6%

38.0%3-Point Rate15.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.