Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%Louisville

36.9%Virginia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.4

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -171

Virginia Tech

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 81

Projected Total158.4

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 77

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricVirginia Tech

67.1MMH Power Index57.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency112.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.2

16.4Net Efficiency5.6

6.0Strength of Schedule5.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

71.0Tempo69.8

56.9%Effective FG%52.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.7%

11.7Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–112.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.2), net efficiency (16.4–5.6).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (34.7–34.1).

Final

Louisville

68—75

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech by 7 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATVirginia Tech

23-57FG24-55

40.0%FG%44.0%

6-193PT5-20

32.0%3PT%25.0%

16-18FT22-27

89.0%FT%81.0%

33Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists16

14Turnovers10

6Steals6

4Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	37	4-12	1-4	7-8	2	3	0	0	16
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	38	4-6	0-1	6-6	9	0	0	1	14
Tre White	G	34	4-10	1-4	1-1	3	4	3	1	10
Mike James	G	33	4-12	2-5	0-0	9	4	1	0	10
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	19	4-8	1-3	1-1	2	0	2	0	10
JJ Traynor	F	27	3-7	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	2	8
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kaleb Glenn	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Okorafor	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	24	5-10	3-3	7-7	4	4	0	0	20
Lynn Kidd	Center	24	8-13	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	19
Hunter Cattoor	Guard	38	3-6	1-3	5-5	3	2	3	0	12
Sean Pedulla	Guard	27	2-6	0-3	4-6	5	4	0	0	8
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	16	3-4	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	7
Mekhi Long	Forward	27	1-3	0-1	2-4	8	1	2	0	4
Tyler Nickel	F	25	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	2	1	1	3
Robbie Beran	Forward	13	1-7	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jaydon Young	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

96.9Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency96.9

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

45.6%Effective FG%48.2%

51.9%True Shooting %55.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.6%Free Throw Rate49.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Virginia Tech won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.