San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%San José State

91.7%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -18.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -1105

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 67

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 85

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricNorth Dakota State

42MMH Power Index59

108.7Offensive Efficiency115.4

118.5Defensive Efficiency100.8

-9.8Net Efficiency14.6

1.8Strength of Schedule-4.6

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

66.2Tempo69.6

50.8%Effective FG%54.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

34.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-6.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–42.0), offensive efficiency (115.4–108.7), defensive efficiency (100.8–118.5), net efficiency (14.6–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-4.6), ball security (15.2–15.5), free throw rate (34.2–31.3).

Final

San José State

78—83

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 5 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

31-69FG27-57

45.0%FG%47.0%

5-233PT12-24

22.0%3PT%50.0%

11-15FT17-32

73.0%FT%53.0%

36Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists17

7Turnovers11

5Steals3

5Blocks5

26Fouls17

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	41	9-18	0-2	4-4	10	4	1	0	22
Myron Amey Jr.	G	34	6-15	1-5	2-4	6	4	2	0	15
Tibet Gorener	Forward	42	5-10	2-7	1-1	3	1	1	2	13
Trey Anderson	Forward	40	3-8	0-3	3-3	4	0	0	1	9
Adrame Diongue	C	17	4-6	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	1	9
Rickey Mitchell Jr.	G	25	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Diogo Seixas	Forward	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
William Humer	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Garrett Anderson	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Latrell Davis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Feddersen	C	28	5-6	1-1	6-11	6	1	1	0	17
Jacari White	G	35	4-8	3-5	2-3	5	2	1	1	13
Boden Skunberg	G	44	5-13	2-6	0-0	8	4	0	0	12
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	37	2-10	0-2	7-10	2	3	1	0	11
Tajavis Miller	G	37	4-8	2-4	0-2	10	5	0	1	10
Andrew Morgan	Forward	15	4-6	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	10
Lance Waddles	G	18	2-3	2-3	0-2	0	2	0	1	6
Jeremiah Burke	F	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	2	3
Joshua Streit	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Sam Hastreiter	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

105.1Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency105.1

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

48.6%Effective FG%57.9%

51.2%True Shooting %57.5%

9.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

21.7%Free Throw Rate56.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.