Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Cal Poly

67.5%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon State -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon State -208

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreOregon State 83

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricOregon State

46.5MMH Power Index48.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency105.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

-3.8Net Efficiency-4.5

1.7Strength of Schedule4.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

76.6Tempo67.2

52.2%Effective FG%50.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

-2.9Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.2–105.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-4.5), recent form (2.4–0.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.6).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.5–46.5), defensive efficiency (110.3–111.0), strength of schedule (4.5–1.7).

Final

Cal Poly

63—70

Oregon State

Oregon State by 7 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATOregon State

22-64FG28-65

34.0%FG%43.0%

6-233PTnull-10

26.0%3PT%0.0%

13-19FT14-18

68.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds49

10Offensive Rebounds16

6Assists11

17Turnovers18

9Steals8

3Blocks8

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	48	8-17	3-6	2-3	4	2	2	1	21
Kobe Sanders	Guard	45	5-18	1-8	8-8	4	2	2	0	19
Joel Armotrading	C	41	3-5	0-0	2-6	9	1	1	2	8
Jarred Hyder	Guard	46	2-11	2-7	0-0	6	1	3	0	6
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	30	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Paul Bizimana	Forward	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Justin Page	G	15	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cole Haller	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Rataj	G	42	9-18	0-3	0-0	10	1	0	1	18
KC Ibekwe	C	30	6-8	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	3	14
Tyler Bilodeau	F	27	2-5	0-0	7-8	5	1	1	1	11
Jordan Pope	G	45	5-20	0-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	10
Josiah Lake II	G	28	2-3	0-0	5-6	9	1	3	0	9
Christian Wright	Guard	40	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	3	2	1	6
Chol Marial	Center	17	1-2	0-0	0-1	6	1	0	2	2
Justin Rochelin	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Thomas Ndong	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

81.0Offensive Efficiency90.0

90.0Defensive Efficiency81.0

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

39.1%Effective FG%43.1%

43.1%True Shooting %47.6%

21.2%Turnover Rate23.8%

29.7%Free Throw Rate27.7%

35.9%3-Point Rate15.4%

0.35Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.