Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.2%Lafayette

86.8%Columbia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColumbia -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColumbia -658

Columbia

16-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 67

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreColumbia 81

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricColumbia

39.6MMH Power Index51.9

102.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

110.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

-7.4Net Efficiency7.2

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.4

67.5Tempo68.2

49.4%Effective FG%54.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.1%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

33.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-5.0Average Margin5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Columbia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColumbia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.9–39.6), offensive efficiency (112.4–102.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.3), net efficiency (7.2–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.7), ball security (15.4–19.1), free throw rate (33.0–28.8).

Final

Lafayette

72—83

Columbia

Columbia by 11 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATColumbia

26-61FG32-60

43.0%FG%53.0%

10-303PT7-16

33.0%3PT%44.0%

10-13FT12-14

77.0%FT%86.0%

32Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists20

11Turnovers9

3Steals6

6Blocks—

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Sondberg	Guard	25	9-17	6-13	4-4	1	1	0	0	28
Mark Butler	G	37	6-7	0-1	3-3	3	8	0	1	15
Luke Rasmussen	G	27	3-7	3-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Chris Rubayo	F	19	3-8	0-1	2-2	7	1	0	2	8
Luka Savicevic	G	20	2-6	1-4	0-0	2	3	3	0	5
Justin Vander Baan	C	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	3	4
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	27	1-4	0-2	0-2	6	1	0	0	2
Devin Hines	G	16	0-4	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Joshua Wyche	F	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Columbia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Avery Brown	G	34	6-11	0-3	3-3	1	3	2	15
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa	Guard	31	4-11	1-3	6-6	1	4	1	15
Blair Thompson	F	23	4-8	3-3	1-2	9	3	1	12
Josh Odunowo	F	18	5-6	0-0	2-3	2	2	1	12
Jaden Cooper	G	24	4-5	2-3	0-0	7	3	0	10
Noah Robledo	Forward	17	4-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	8
Kenny Noland	G	17	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	5	1	5
Zavian McLean	Guard	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	4
Zine Eddine Bedri	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2
Jake Tavroff	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Nicolo Romanelli	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

108.3Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency108.3

-16.5Net Efficiency16.5

50.8%Effective FG%59.2%

53.6%True Shooting %62.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.5%

21.3%Free Throw Rate23.3%

49.2%3-Point Rate26.7%

1.55Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Columbia won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.