North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.5%North Carolina Central

98.5%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -27.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -6567

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 61

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreVirginia 89

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricVirginia

35.8MMH Power Index68.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency119.0

110.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

-5.3Net Efficiency17.2

-8.0Strength of Schedule5.2

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.5Tempo67.6

49.8%Effective FG%55.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

39.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-3.6Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–35.8), offensive efficiency (119.0–104.9), defensive efficiency (101.8–110.2), net efficiency (17.2–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.7–33.2).

Final

North Carolina Central

47—77

Virginia

Virginia by 30 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATVirginia

15-51FG32-59

29.0%FG%54.0%

3-173PT9-21

18.0%3PT%43.0%

14-21FT4-8

67.0%FT%50.0%

30Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists24

9Turnovers5

5Steals7

3Blocks6

11Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Perry Smith Jr.	C	37	6-8	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	2	12
Guy Fauntleroy	G	24	2-7	2-5	5-5	1	1	0	0	11
Josh Smith	G	30	3-12	1-3	3-5	4	2	0	0	10
Keishon Porter	G	33	2-6	0-1	4-5	7	0	0	1	8
Po'Boigh King	G	32	2-13	0-3	0-0	5	2	2	0	4
Cobey Harraway	Guard	20	0-3	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Kye Dickson	F	5	0-0	0-0	1-4	3	1	1	0	1
Timmy Adedire	Forward	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Terrence Crawford	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chris Daniels	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	26	8-11	6-8	0-0	2	1	0	1	22
Leon Bond III	G	21	6-8	1-1	1-2	9	3	0	2	14
Elijah Gertrude	G	17	6-11	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	13
Blake Buchanan	F	25	4-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	1	9
Reece Beekman	Guard	20	3-7	0-2	2-2	4	4	4	0	8
Ryan Dunn	Forward	21	3-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	6
Andrew Rohde	G	22	1-4	1-3	0-2	1	6	0	1	3
Jacob Groves	Forward	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Taine Murray	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Jordan Minor	Forward	12	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Tristan How	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Bryce Walker	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

75.3Offensive Efficiency123.4

123.4Defensive Efficiency75.3

-48.1Net Efficiency48.1

32.4%Effective FG%61.9%

38.5%True Shooting %61.3%

14.3%Turnover Rate8.1%

41.2%Free Throw Rate13.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.89Assist / Turnover4.80

Game Summary

Virginia won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.