Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.3%Villanova

29.7%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -237

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreKansas State 77

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricKansas State

59.4MMH Power Index47.1

114.7Offensive Efficiency107.8

105.9Defensive Efficiency110.9

8.8Net Efficiency-3.1

4.4Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

67.3Tempo73.8

53.9%Effective FG%53.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

31.4%Free Throw Rate27.4%

5.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (114.7–107.8), defensive efficiency (105.9–110.9), net efficiency (8.8–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.4).

Final

Villanova

71—72

Kansas State

Kansas State by 1 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATKansas State

23-66FG29-59

35.0%FG%49.0%

11-313PT8-22

35.0%3PT%36.0%

14-17FT6-6

82.0%FT%100.0%

38Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists15

11Turnovers16

8Steals6

2Blocks4

10Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Longino	Guard	36	5-17	3-9	3-4	4	3	1	0	16
TJ Bamba	Guard	40	4-12	2-3	5-6	4	4	1	1	15
Tyler Burton	Forward	37	3-9	2-6	4-4	11	2	1	1	12
Eric Dixon	Forward	28	4-10	1-3	2-3	8	1	0	0	11
Hakim Hart	Guard	32	4-7	2-4	0-0	5	1	2	0	10
Mark Armstrong	Guard	19	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Justin Moore	Guard	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Brendan Hausen	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arthur Kaluma	Forward	44	10-13	3-3	3-3	9	4	0	0	26
Cam Carter	Guard	42	7-12	2-5	0-0	4	3	1	0	16
Tylor Perry	Guard	41	4-12	2-10	0-0	1	6	0	0	10
Will McNair Jr.	Forward	31	4-10	0-0	1-1	6	0	1	2	9
Dai Dai Ames	G	19	2-5	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	7
David N'Guessan	Guard	37	2-7	0-2	0-0	10	1	1	2	4
RJ Jones	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Jerrell Colbert	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

97.3Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency97.3

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

43.2%Effective FG%55.9%

47.9%True Shooting %58.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate21.7%

25.8%Free Throw Rate10.2%

47.0%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.