Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Indiana State

23.4%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -327

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 78

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricNorthern Illinois

44.4MMH Power Index29.2

104.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

-1.3Net Efficiency-11.9

0.1Strength of Schedule-2.1

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

70.3Tempo69.7

53.6%Effective FG%48.5%

19.5%Turnover Rate21.3%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-0.9Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–29.2), offensive efficiency (104.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (106.0–111.6), net efficiency (-1.3–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–27.3), free throw rate (39.6–28.8).

Final

Indiana State

90—67

Northern Illinois

Indiana State by 23 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

33-63FG25-64

52.0%FG%39.0%

11-273PT7-27

41.0%3PT%26.0%

13-13FT10-18

100.0%FT%56.0%

46Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists5

13Turnovers8

6Steals6

—Blocks4

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	39	10-23	4-11	3-3	10	4	1	27
Ryan Conwell	G	29	5-10	1-5	4-4	7	5	0	15
Julian Larry	Guard	36	4-8	3-5	2-2	6	1	1	13
Jayson Kent	Forward	34	5-7	2-2	0-0	8	0	3	12
Robbie Avila	C	19	5-8	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	12
Jake Wolfe	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	4
Masen Miller	Guard	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	3
Xavier Bledson	Guard	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	1	2
Derek Vorst	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Jaden Daughtry	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
Eli Shetlar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Schertz	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	32	5-12	3-8	0-0	2	2	2	0	13
Xavier Amos	F	34	5-9	1-3	1-2	6	1	3	1	12
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	21	5-9	0-3	0-0	5	0	0	1	10
Zarique Nutter	F	32	3-12	0-0	3-7	4	1	0	2	9
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	23	2-9	1-7	3-3	1	1	0	0	8
Keshawn Williams	G	14	2-5	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Will Lovings-Watts	G	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Zion Russell	G	12	0-2	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Quaran McPherson	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ethan Butler	F	11	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Luka Gogic	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

126.1Offensive Efficiency93.8

93.8Defensive Efficiency126.1

32.2Net Efficiency-32.2

61.1%Effective FG%44.5%

65.1%True Shooting %46.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate11.2%

20.6%Free Throw Rate28.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate42.2%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.